Smoke health costs and the calculus for wildfires fuel management: a modelling study.


Journal

The Lancet. Planetary health
ISSN: 2542-5196
Titre abrégé: Lancet Planet Health
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 101704339

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
09 2021
Historique:
received: 24 02 2021
revised: 17 06 2021
accepted: 08 07 2021
pubmed: 12 9 2021
medline: 26 11 2021
entrez: 11 9 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Smoke from uncontrolled wildfires and deliberately set prescribed burns has the potential to produce substantial population exposure to fine particulate matter (PM We quantified PM We estimated health costs of AU$ 2013 million (95% CI 718-3354; calculated with the 2018 value of the AU$). $1653 million (82·1%) of costs were attributable to WFS and $361 million (17·9%) to PBS. The per hectare health cost was of $105 for all LFS days ($104 for WFS and $477 for PBS). In sensitivity analyses, the per hectare costs associated with PBS was consistently higher than for WFS under a range of different scenarios. WFS and PBS produce substantial health costs. Total health costs are higher for WFS, but per hectare costs are higher for PBS. This should be considered when assessing the trade-offs between prescribed burns and wildfires. None.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Smoke from uncontrolled wildfires and deliberately set prescribed burns has the potential to produce substantial population exposure to fine particulate matter (PM
METHODS
We quantified PM
FINDINGS
We estimated health costs of AU$ 2013 million (95% CI 718-3354; calculated with the 2018 value of the AU$). $1653 million (82·1%) of costs were attributable to WFS and $361 million (17·9%) to PBS. The per hectare health cost was of $105 for all LFS days ($104 for WFS and $477 for PBS). In sensitivity analyses, the per hectare costs associated with PBS was consistently higher than for WFS under a range of different scenarios.
INTERPRETATION
WFS and PBS produce substantial health costs. Total health costs are higher for WFS, but per hectare costs are higher for PBS. This should be considered when assessing the trade-offs between prescribed burns and wildfires.
FUNDING
None.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34508682
pii: S2542-5196(21)00198-4
doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00198-4
pii:
doi:

Substances chimiques

Particulate Matter 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e608-e619

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests.

Auteurs

Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada (N)

Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia; New South Wales Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.

David M J S Bowman (DMJS)

School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.

Owen Price (O)

New South Wales Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia; Centre for Environmental Risk Management of Bushfires, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

Andrew J Palmer (AJ)

Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia; Centre for Health Policy, School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

Stephanie Samson (S)

New South Wales Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

Hamish Clarke (H)

New South Wales Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia; Centre for Environmental Risk Management of Bushfires, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

Gonzalo Sepulveda (G)

Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

Fay H Johnston (FH)

Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia. Electronic address: fay.johnston@utas.edu.au.

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