Prognostic factors and outcomes of COVID-19 cases in Ethiopia: multi-center cohort study protocol.


Journal

BMC infectious diseases
ISSN: 1471-2334
Titre abrégé: BMC Infect Dis
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100968551

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
16 Sep 2021
Historique:
received: 25 12 2020
accepted: 01 09 2021
entrez: 17 9 2021
pubmed: 18 9 2021
medline: 25 9 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and became pandemic after emerging in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. Several studies have been conducted to understand the key features of COVID-19 and its public health impact. However, the prognostic factors of COVID-19 are not well studied in the African setting. In this study, we aim to determine the epidemiological and clinical features of COVID-19 cases, immunological and virological courses, interaction with nutritional status, and response to treatment for COVID-19 patients in Ethiopia. A multi-center cohort study design will be performed. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection admitted to selected treatment centers will be enrolled irrespective of their symptoms and followed-up for 12 months. Baseline epidemiological, clinical, laboratory and imaging data will be collected from treatment records, interviews, physical measurements, and biological samples. Follow-up data collection involves treatment and prognostic outcomes to be measured using different biomarkers and clinical parameters. Data collection will be done electronically using the Open Data Kit (ODK) software package and then exported to STATA/SPSS for analysis. Both descriptive and multivariable analyses will be performed to assess the independent determinants of the treatment outcome and prognosis to generate relevant information for informed prevention and case management. The primary outcomes of this study are death/survival and viral shedding. Secondary outcomes include epidemiological characteristics, clinical features, genetic frequency shifts (genotypic variations), and nutritional status. This is the first large prospective cohort study of patients in hospitals with COVID-19 in Ethiopia. The results will enable us to better understand the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa. This study will also provide useful information for effective public health measures and future pandemic preparedness and in response to outbreaks. It will also support policymakers in managing the epidemic based on scientific evidence. The Protocol prospectively registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04584424) on 30 October, 2020.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and became pandemic after emerging in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. Several studies have been conducted to understand the key features of COVID-19 and its public health impact. However, the prognostic factors of COVID-19 are not well studied in the African setting. In this study, we aim to determine the epidemiological and clinical features of COVID-19 cases, immunological and virological courses, interaction with nutritional status, and response to treatment for COVID-19 patients in Ethiopia.
METHODS METHODS
A multi-center cohort study design will be performed. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection admitted to selected treatment centers will be enrolled irrespective of their symptoms and followed-up for 12 months. Baseline epidemiological, clinical, laboratory and imaging data will be collected from treatment records, interviews, physical measurements, and biological samples. Follow-up data collection involves treatment and prognostic outcomes to be measured using different biomarkers and clinical parameters. Data collection will be done electronically using the Open Data Kit (ODK) software package and then exported to STATA/SPSS for analysis. Both descriptive and multivariable analyses will be performed to assess the independent determinants of the treatment outcome and prognosis to generate relevant information for informed prevention and case management. The primary outcomes of this study are death/survival and viral shedding. Secondary outcomes include epidemiological characteristics, clinical features, genetic frequency shifts (genotypic variations), and nutritional status.
DISCUSSION CONCLUSIONS
This is the first large prospective cohort study of patients in hospitals with COVID-19 in Ethiopia. The results will enable us to better understand the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa. This study will also provide useful information for effective public health measures and future pandemic preparedness and in response to outbreaks. It will also support policymakers in managing the epidemic based on scientific evidence.
TRIAL REGISTRATION BACKGROUND
The Protocol prospectively registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04584424) on 30 October, 2020.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34530744
doi: 10.1186/s12879-021-06652-0
pii: 10.1186/s12879-021-06652-0
pmc: PMC8443913
doi:

Banques de données

ClinicalTrials.gov
['NCT04584424']

Types de publication

Journal Article Multicenter Study Observational Study

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

956

Informations de copyright

© 2021. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Saro Abdella (S)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Masresha Tessema (M)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. masresha88@gmail.com.

Geremew Tasew (G)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Atkure Defar (A)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Asefa Deressa (A)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Feyisa Regasa (F)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Frehiwot Teka (F)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Eyasu Tigabu (E)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Dereje Nigussie (D)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Tefera Belachew (T)

Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.

Million Molla (M)

Saint Peter Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Amare Deribew (A)

Nutrition International, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Workeabeba Abebe (W)

Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Tegbar Yigzaw (T)

Jhpiego-Innovating, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Tsinuel Nigatu (T)

Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Getnet Mitike (G)

International Institute for Primary Health Care, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Tewodros Haile (T)

Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Haftom Taame (H)

Africa CDC, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Muhammed Ahmed (M)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Frehiwot Nigatu (F)

International Institute for Primary Health Care, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Tola Tolesa (T)

Saint Paul's Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Eskinder Wolka (E)

International Institute for Primary Health Care, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Wondwossen Amogne (W)

Saint Paul's Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Arnaud Laillou (A)

UNICEF, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Misker Amare (M)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Yaregal Fufa (Y)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Alemayehu Argaw (A)

Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.

Woldesenbet Waganew (W)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Akilili Azazh (A)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Aschalew Worku (A)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Berhane Redae (B)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Menbeu Sultan (M)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Miraf Walelegn (M)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Muluwork Tefera (M)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Sisay Yifru (S)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Rahel Argaw (R)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Natinael Brehau (N)

COVID-19 Isolation and Treatment Center, Eka Kotebe General Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Sisay Teklu (S)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Getachew Demoz (G)

COVID-19 Isolation and Treatment Center, Eka Kotebe General Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Yakob Seman (Y)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Mihretab Salasibew (M)

Children's Investment Fund Foundation, London, UK.

Eshetu Ejeta (E)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Susan J Whiting (SJ)

College of Pharmacy and Nutrition, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.

Dawit Wolday (D)

Mekelle University, Mek'ele, Ethiopia.

Getachew Tollera (G)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Ebba Abate (E)

Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Dereje Duguma (D)

Ethiopian Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

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