Characterizing human mobility patterns in rural settings of sub-Saharan Africa.

Human mobility computational biology epidemiology global health gravity model human low and middle income countries mobile phone data spatial models systems biology

Journal

eLife
ISSN: 2050-084X
Titre abrégé: Elife
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101579614

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
17 09 2021
Historique:
received: 16 03 2021
accepted: 21 08 2021
entrez: 17 9 2021
pubmed: 18 9 2021
medline: 30 11 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Human mobility is a core component of human behavior and its quantification is critical for understanding its impact on infectious disease transmission, traffic forecasting, access to resources and care, intervention strategies, and migratory flows. When mobility data are limited, spatial interaction models have been widely used to estimate human travel, but have not been extensively validated in low- and middle-income settings. Geographic, sociodemographic, and infrastructure differences may impact the ability for models to capture these patterns, particularly in rural settings. Here, we analyzed mobility patterns inferred from mobile phone data in four Sub-Saharan African countries to investigate the ability for variants on gravity and radiation models to estimate travel. Adjusting the gravity model such that parameters were fit to different trip types, including travel between more or less populated areas and/or different regions, improved model fit in all four countries. This suggests that alternative models may be more useful in these settings and better able to capture the range of mobility patterns observed.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34533456
doi: 10.7554/eLife.68441
pii: 68441
pmc: PMC8448534
doi:
pii:

Banques de données

Dryad
['10.5061/dryad.fn2z34tt6']

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Subventions

Organisme : NLM NIH HHS
ID : DP2 LM013102
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : R01 AI160780
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

© 2021, Meredith et al.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

HM, JG, JP, TM, AR, SM, EK, KM, AT, CM none, CB None, AW Reviewing editor, eLife

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Auteurs

Hannah R Meredith (HR)

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

John R Giles (JR)

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

Javier Perez-Saez (J)

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

Théophile Mande (T)

Bureau d'Etudes Scientifiques et Techniques - Eau, Energie, Environnement (BEST-3E), Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

Andrea Rinaldo (A)

Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile Edile ed Ambientale, Università di Padova, Padova, Italy.
Laboratory of Ecohydrology, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Simon Mutembo (S)

Department of International Health, International Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.
Macha Research Trust, Choma, Zambia.

Elliot N Kabalo (EN)

Zambia Information and Communications Technology Authority, Lusaka, Zambia.

Kabondo Makungo (K)

Zamtel, Lusaka, Zambia.

Caroline O Buckee (CO)

Department of Epidemiology and the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, United States.

Andrew J Tatem (AJ)

WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.

C Jessica E Metcalf (CJE)

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and the Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, United States.

Amy Wesolowski (A)

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

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