Mobility indicators and COVID-19 growth ratio in Iraq: a correlation study.
COVID-19
correlation
mobility-limiting measures
Journal
Journal of public health (Oxford, England)
ISSN: 1741-3850
Titre abrégé: J Public Health (Oxf)
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101188638
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
08 12 2021
08 12 2021
Historique:
received:
12
02
2021
revised:
30
07
2021
accepted:
03
08
2021
pubmed:
29
9
2021
medline:
15
12
2021
entrez:
28
9
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
There is no prior study of the effect of mobility-limiting measures on the occurrence of COVID-19 in Iraq. To determine the relationship between publicly available mobility index data and the growth ratio (GR) of COVID-19. We used Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports to extract Iraq's mobility data and the official Ministry of Health COVID-19 statements. We used the data to calculate the Pearson's correlation coefficient and fit a linear regression model to determine the relationship between percentage change from the baseline in the mobility indices and the GR of COVID-19 in Iraq. There was a moderate positive correlation between each of the mobility indices except the residential index and COVID-19 GR in Iraq. The general linear model indicated that as each of the mobility indices increases by one unit, the GR of COVID19 increases by 0.002-0.003 except for the residential index. As the residential mobility index increases by one unit, the GR decreases by 0.009. All the findings were statistically significant (P-value < 0.0001). Mobility-limiting measures may be able to reduce the growth rate of COVID-19 moderately. Accordingly, mobility-limiting measures should be combined with other public control measures particularly mass mask use.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
There is no prior study of the effect of mobility-limiting measures on the occurrence of COVID-19 in Iraq.
OBJECTIVES
To determine the relationship between publicly available mobility index data and the growth ratio (GR) of COVID-19.
METHOD
We used Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports to extract Iraq's mobility data and the official Ministry of Health COVID-19 statements. We used the data to calculate the Pearson's correlation coefficient and fit a linear regression model to determine the relationship between percentage change from the baseline in the mobility indices and the GR of COVID-19 in Iraq.
RESULTS
There was a moderate positive correlation between each of the mobility indices except the residential index and COVID-19 GR in Iraq. The general linear model indicated that as each of the mobility indices increases by one unit, the GR of COVID19 increases by 0.002-0.003 except for the residential index. As the residential mobility index increases by one unit, the GR decreases by 0.009. All the findings were statistically significant (P-value < 0.0001).
CONCLUSION
Mobility-limiting measures may be able to reduce the growth rate of COVID-19 moderately. Accordingly, mobility-limiting measures should be combined with other public control measures particularly mass mask use.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34580733
pii: 6376587
doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdab332
pmc: PMC8500103
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
iii29-iii33Informations de copyright
© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
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