A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries.

Basic Reproduction Number COVID-19 / epidemiology Cities Cross-Sectional Studies Humans Meta-Analysis as Topic Meteorological Concepts Pandemics Regression Analysis SARS-CoV-2 / pathogenicity Seasons Temperature Weather

Journal

Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
13 10 2021
Historique:
received: 18 02 2021
accepted: 08 09 2021
entrez: 14 10 2021
pubmed: 15 10 2021
medline: 30 10 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

There is conflicting evidence on the influence of weather on COVID-19 transmission. Our aim is to estimate weather-dependent signatures in the early phase of the pandemic, while controlling for socio-economic factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions. We identify a modest non-linear association between mean temperature and the effective reproduction number (R

Identifiants

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25914-8 PMID: 34645794 PMC: PMC8514574
pubmed: 34645794
doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25914-8
pii: 10.1038/s41467-021-25914-8
pmc: PMC8514574
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

5968

Subventions

Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MR/R013349/1
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : NINDS NIH HHS
ID : R01 NS110424
Pays : United States
Organisme : Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
ID : INV-001754
Pays : United States
Organisme : Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
ID : INV-003174
Pays : United States
Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : NIEHS NIH HHS
ID : P30 ES019776
Pays : United States

Investigateurs

Wenbiao Hu (W)
Shilu Tong (S)
Eric Lavigne (E)
Patricia Matus Correa (PM)
Xia Meng (X)
Haidong Kan (H)
Jan Kynčl (J)
Aleš Urban (A)
Hans Orru (H)
Niilo R I Ryti (NRI)
Jouni J K Jaakkola (JJK)
Simon Cauchemez (S)
Marco Dallavalle (M)
Alexandra Schneider (A)
Ariana Zeka (A)
Yasushi Honda (Y)
Chris Fook Sheng Ng (CFS)
Barrak Alahmad (B)
Shilpa Rao (S)
Francesco Di Ruscio (F)
Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar (G)
Xerxes Seposo (X)
Iulian Horia Holobâcă (IH)
Ho Kim (H)
Whanhee Lee (W)
Carmen Íñiguez (C)
Martina S Ragettli (MS)
Alicia Aleman (A)
Valentina Colistro (V)
Michelle L Bell (ML)
Antonella Zanobetti (A)
Joel Schwartz (J)
Tran Ngoc Dang (TN)
Noah Scovronick (N)
Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho (M)
Magali Hurtado Diaz (MH)
Yuzhou Zhang (Y)
Timothy W Russell (TW)
Mihaly Koltai (M)
Adam J Kucharski (AJ)
Rosanna C Barnard (RC)
Matthew Quaife (M)
Christopher I Jarvis (CI)
Jiayao Lei (J)
James D Munday (JD)
Yung-Wai Desmond Chan (YD)
Billy J Quilty (BJ)
Rosalind M Eggo (RM)
Stefan Flasche (S)
Anna M Foss (AM)
Samuel Clifford (S)
Damien C Tully (DC)
W John Edmunds (WJ)
Petra Klepac (P)
Oliver Brady (O)
Fabienne Krauer (F)
Simon R Procter (SR)
Thibaut Jombart (T)
Alicia Rosello (A)
Alicia Showering (A)
Sebastian Funk (S)
Joel Hellewell (J)
Fiona Yueqian Sun (FY)
Akira Endo (A)
Jack Williams (J)
Amy Gimma (A)
Naomi R Waterlow (NR)
Kiesha Prem (K)
Nikos I Bosse (NI)
Hamish P Gibbs (HP)
Katherine E Atkins (KE)
Carl A B Pearson (CAB)
Yalda Jafari (Y)
C Julian Villabona-Arenas (CJ)
Mark Jit (M)
Emily S Nightingale (ES)
Nicholas G Davies (NG)
Kevin van Zandvoort (K)
Yang Liu (Y)
Frank G Sandmann (FG)
William Waites (W)
Kaja Abbas (K)
Graham Medley (G)
Gwenan M Knight (GM)

Informations de copyright

© 2021. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Francesco Sera (F)

Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. francesco.sera@lshtm.ac.uk.
Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications "G. Parenti", University of Florence, Florence, Italy. francesco.sera@lshtm.ac.uk.

Ben Armstrong (B)

Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
ORCID: 0000-0003-4407-0409

Sam Abbott (S)

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Sophie Meakin (S)

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Kathleen O'Reilly (K)

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
ORCID: 0000-0002-4892-8022

Rosa von Borries (R)

Charité Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany.
ORCID: 0000-0002-4857-3452

Rochelle Schneider (R)

Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Forecast Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), Reading, UK.
Φ-Lab, European Space Agency, Frascati, Italy.
ORCID: 0000-0002-2905-0154

Dominic Royé (D)

Department of Geography, CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), University of Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
ORCID: 0000-0002-5516-6396

Masahiro Hashizume (M)

Department of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
ORCID: 0000-0003-4720-1750

Mathilde Pascal (M)

Santé Publique France, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France.

Aurelio Tobias (A)

School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research (IDAEA), Spanish Council for Scientific Research (CSIS), Barcelona, Spain.

Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera (AM)

Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
ORCID: 0000-0001-6982-8867

Antonio Gasparrini (A)

Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Centre for Statistical Modelling, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
ORCID: 0000-0002-2271-3568

Rachel Lowe (R)

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. rachel.lowe@lshtm.ac.uk.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. rachel.lowe@lshtm.ac.uk.
Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. rachel.lowe@lshtm.ac.uk.
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain. rachel.lowe@lshtm.ac.uk.
ORCID: 0000-0003-3939-7343

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Classifications MeSH

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