Transmission of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) from pre and asymptomatic infected individuals: a systematic review.

Asymptomatic cases Levels of evidence Presymptomatic cases SARS-CoV-2 Transmission

Journal

Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases
ISSN: 1469-0691
Titre abrégé: Clin Microbiol Infect
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9516420

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Feb 2022
Historique:
received: 18 08 2021
revised: 13 10 2021
accepted: 23 10 2021
pubmed: 11 11 2021
medline: 1 2 2022
entrez: 10 11 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

The role of SARS-Cov-2-infected persons who develop symptoms after testing (presymptomatics) or not at all (asymptomatics) in the pandemic spread is unknown. To determine infectiousness and probable contribution of asymptomatic persons (at the time of testing) to pandemic SARS-CoV-2 spread. LitCovid, medRxiv, Google Scholar, and WHO Covid-19 databases (to 31 March 2021) and references in included studies. Studies with a proven or hypothesized transmission chain based either on serial PCR cycle threshold readings and/or viral culture and/or gene sequencing, with adequate follow-up. People exposed to SARS-CoV-2 within 2-14 days to index asymptomatic (at time of observation) infected individuals. Reliability of symptom and signs was assessed within contemporary knowledge; transmission likelihood was assessed using adapted causality criteria. Systematic review. We contacted all included studies' corresponding authors requesting further details. We included 18 studies from a diverse setting with substantial methodological variation (this field lacks standardized methodology). At initial testing, prevalence of asymptomatic cases was 12.5-100%. Of these, 6-100% were later determined to be presymptomatic, this proportion varying according to setting, methods of case ascertainment and population. Nursing/care home facilities reported high rates of presymptomatic: 50-100% (n = 3 studies). Fourteen studies were classified as high risk of, and four studies as at moderate risk of symptom ascertainment bias. High-risk studies may be less likely to distinguish between presymptomatic and asymptomatic cases. Six asymptomatic studies and four presymptomatic studies reported culturing infectious virus; data were too sparse to determine infectiousness duration. Three studies provided evidence of possible and three of probable/likely asymptomatic transmission; five studies provided possible and two probable/likely presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 transmission. High-quality studies provide probable evidence of SARS-CoV-2 transmission from presymptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, with highly variable estimated transmission rates.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
The role of SARS-Cov-2-infected persons who develop symptoms after testing (presymptomatics) or not at all (asymptomatics) in the pandemic spread is unknown.
OBJECTIVES OBJECTIVE
To determine infectiousness and probable contribution of asymptomatic persons (at the time of testing) to pandemic SARS-CoV-2 spread.
DATA SOURCES METHODS
LitCovid, medRxiv, Google Scholar, and WHO Covid-19 databases (to 31 March 2021) and references in included studies.
STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA METHODS
Studies with a proven or hypothesized transmission chain based either on serial PCR cycle threshold readings and/or viral culture and/or gene sequencing, with adequate follow-up.
PARTICIPANTS METHODS
People exposed to SARS-CoV-2 within 2-14 days to index asymptomatic (at time of observation) infected individuals.
INTERVENTIONS METHODS
Reliability of symptom and signs was assessed within contemporary knowledge; transmission likelihood was assessed using adapted causality criteria.
METHODS METHODS
Systematic review. We contacted all included studies' corresponding authors requesting further details.
RESULTS RESULTS
We included 18 studies from a diverse setting with substantial methodological variation (this field lacks standardized methodology). At initial testing, prevalence of asymptomatic cases was 12.5-100%. Of these, 6-100% were later determined to be presymptomatic, this proportion varying according to setting, methods of case ascertainment and population. Nursing/care home facilities reported high rates of presymptomatic: 50-100% (n = 3 studies). Fourteen studies were classified as high risk of, and four studies as at moderate risk of symptom ascertainment bias. High-risk studies may be less likely to distinguish between presymptomatic and asymptomatic cases. Six asymptomatic studies and four presymptomatic studies reported culturing infectious virus; data were too sparse to determine infectiousness duration. Three studies provided evidence of possible and three of probable/likely asymptomatic transmission; five studies provided possible and two probable/likely presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
High-quality studies provide probable evidence of SARS-CoV-2 transmission from presymptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, with highly variable estimated transmission rates.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34757116
pii: S1198-743X(21)00616-9
doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2021.10.015
pmc: PMC8555342
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Review Systematic Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

178-189

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

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Auteurs

Tom Jefferson (T)

Department for Continuing Education, University of Oxford, UK. Electronic address: tom.jefferson@conted.ox.ac.uk.

Elizabeth A Spencer (EA)

Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK.

Jon Brassey (J)

Trip Database Ltd, Newport, UK.

Igho J Onakpoya (IJ)

Department for Continuing Education, University of Oxford, UK.

Elena C Rosca (EC)

Victor Babes University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Timisoara, Romania.

Annette Plüddemann (A)

Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK.

David H Evans (DH)

Li Ka Shing Institute of Virology and Deptartment of Medical Microbiology & Immunology, University of Alberta, Canada.

John M Conly (JM)

Departments of Medicine, Microbiology, Immunology & Infectious Diseases, and Pathology & Laboratory Medicine, Synder Institute for Chronic Diseases and O'Brien Institute for Public Health, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary and Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Canada.

Carl J Heneghan (CJ)

Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK.

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