Predictors of Death from Complicated Severe Acute Malnutrition in East Ethiopia: Survival Analysis.
hospitals
predictors
severe acute malnutrition
survival pattern
time to death
Journal
International journal of general medicine
ISSN: 1178-7074
Titre abrégé: Int J Gen Med
Pays: New Zealand
ID NLM: 101515487
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
2021
2021
Historique:
received:
06
09
2021
accepted:
09
11
2021
entrez:
2
12
2021
pubmed:
3
12
2021
medline:
3
12
2021
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is still the leading cause of global child morbidity and mortality, with a greater burden in sub-Saharan Africa. A facility-based treatment of SAM demands critical care for improved outcomes and survival of children. However, there is a need to understand predictors for time to death among SAM children for effective interventions. To assess the predictors of death from complicated severe acute malnutrition among admitted children treated in East Ethiopia. A 31-month retrospective cohort study was conducted among a total of 665 under-five children admitted with complicated SAM in Dilchora hospital, eastern Ethiopia. The data was extracted from the patient register and medical charts using the kobo tool. The life table, survival, and hazard curves were plotted. Kaplan-Meier with Log rank tests was used to estimate and compare the mean survival time. The bivariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify predictors of time to death. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals and p-values were reported. A total of 665 full medical charts were reviewed with a total of 60 (9%; 95% CI: 6.8-11.2%) deaths were observed, where most of the deaths occurred during the first two weeks of admission, while 74 (11%) and 449 (68%) were cured and recovered (stabilized and transferred to outpatient), respectively. Admitted children having good appetite (AHR=0.15; 95% CI: 0.64-0.33), pneumonia (AHR=2.46, 95% CI: 1.436, 4.22), diarrhea (AHR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.16, 4.06), tuberculosis (AHR=2.86, 95% CI: 1.08, 7.63) and having a nasogastric tube inserted (AHR=2.33, 95% CI: 1.15, 4.72) were significant predictors of time to death among SAM children. There is unacceptably high under-five mortality due to SAM, which is predicted by co-morbidities (pneumonia, diarrhea, and tuberculosis), with medical complications and nasogastric tubes.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is still the leading cause of global child morbidity and mortality, with a greater burden in sub-Saharan Africa. A facility-based treatment of SAM demands critical care for improved outcomes and survival of children. However, there is a need to understand predictors for time to death among SAM children for effective interventions.
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
To assess the predictors of death from complicated severe acute malnutrition among admitted children treated in East Ethiopia.
METHODS
METHODS
A 31-month retrospective cohort study was conducted among a total of 665 under-five children admitted with complicated SAM in Dilchora hospital, eastern Ethiopia. The data was extracted from the patient register and medical charts using the kobo tool. The life table, survival, and hazard curves were plotted. Kaplan-Meier with Log rank tests was used to estimate and compare the mean survival time. The bivariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify predictors of time to death. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals and p-values were reported.
RESULTS
RESULTS
A total of 665 full medical charts were reviewed with a total of 60 (9%; 95% CI: 6.8-11.2%) deaths were observed, where most of the deaths occurred during the first two weeks of admission, while 74 (11%) and 449 (68%) were cured and recovered (stabilized and transferred to outpatient), respectively. Admitted children having good appetite (AHR=0.15; 95% CI: 0.64-0.33), pneumonia (AHR=2.46, 95% CI: 1.436, 4.22), diarrhea (AHR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.16, 4.06), tuberculosis (AHR=2.86, 95% CI: 1.08, 7.63) and having a nasogastric tube inserted (AHR=2.33, 95% CI: 1.15, 4.72) were significant predictors of time to death among SAM children.
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSIONS
There is unacceptably high under-five mortality due to SAM, which is predicted by co-morbidities (pneumonia, diarrhea, and tuberculosis), with medical complications and nasogastric tubes.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34853530
doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S337348
pii: 337348
pmc: PMC8627852
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
8763-8773Informations de copyright
© 2021 Oumer et al.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
All the authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest in this work.
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