Predictive and Prognostic Effects of Primary Tumor Size on Colorectal Cancer Survival.

colorectal cancer primary tumor size prognostic factors survival outcomes therapy response determinants

Journal

Frontiers in oncology
ISSN: 2234-943X
Titre abrégé: Front Oncol
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101568867

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
2021
Historique:
received: 20 06 2021
accepted: 27 10 2021
entrez: 27 12 2021
pubmed: 28 12 2021
medline: 28 12 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Pathologic staging is crucial in colorectal cancer (CRC). Unlike the majority of solid tumors, the current staging model does not use tumor size as a criterion. We evaluated the predictive and prognostic impact of primary tumor size on all stages of CRC. Using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), we conducted an analysis of CRC patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 who underwent resection of their primary cancer. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify predictive and prognostic factors, Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models for association between tumor size and survival. About 61,000 patients met the inclusion criteria. Median age was 63 years and majority of the tumors were colon primary (82.7%). AJCC stage distribution was: I - 20.1%; II - 32.1%; III - 34.7% and IV - 13.1%. The prognostic impact of tumor size was strongly associated with survival in stage III disease. Compared to patients with tumors <2cm; those with 2-5cm (HR 1.33; 1.19-1.49; p<0.001), 5-10cm (HR 1.51 (1.34-1.70; p<0.001) and >10cm (HR 1.95 (1.65-2.31; p<0.001) had worse survival independent of other variables. Stage II treated without adjuvant chemotherapy had comparable survival outcomes (HR 1.09; 0.97-1.523; p=0.148) with stage III patients who did, while Stage II patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy did much better than both groups (HR 0.76; 0.67-0.86; p<0.001). Stage III patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy had the worst outcomes among the non-metastatic disease subgroups (HR 2.66; 2.48-2.86; p<0.001). Larger tumors were associated with advanced stage, MSI high, non-rectal primary and positive resection margins. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of tumor size in prognostic staging models, and how to incorporate it into therapy decisions.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Pathologic staging is crucial in colorectal cancer (CRC). Unlike the majority of solid tumors, the current staging model does not use tumor size as a criterion. We evaluated the predictive and prognostic impact of primary tumor size on all stages of CRC.
METHODS METHODS
Using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), we conducted an analysis of CRC patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 who underwent resection of their primary cancer. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify predictive and prognostic factors, Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models for association between tumor size and survival.
RESULTS RESULTS
About 61,000 patients met the inclusion criteria. Median age was 63 years and majority of the tumors were colon primary (82.7%). AJCC stage distribution was: I - 20.1%; II - 32.1%; III - 34.7% and IV - 13.1%. The prognostic impact of tumor size was strongly associated with survival in stage III disease. Compared to patients with tumors <2cm; those with 2-5cm (HR 1.33; 1.19-1.49; p<0.001), 5-10cm (HR 1.51 (1.34-1.70; p<0.001) and >10cm (HR 1.95 (1.65-2.31; p<0.001) had worse survival independent of other variables. Stage II treated without adjuvant chemotherapy had comparable survival outcomes (HR 1.09; 0.97-1.523; p=0.148) with stage III patients who did, while Stage II patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy did much better than both groups (HR 0.76; 0.67-0.86; p<0.001). Stage III patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy had the worst outcomes among the non-metastatic disease subgroups (HR 2.66; 2.48-2.86; p<0.001). Larger tumors were associated with advanced stage, MSI high, non-rectal primary and positive resection margins.
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
Further studies are needed to clarify the role of tumor size in prognostic staging models, and how to incorporate it into therapy decisions.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34956863
doi: 10.3389/fonc.2021.728076
pmc: PMC8695445
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

728076

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 Alese, Zhou, Jiang, Zakka, Huang, Okoli, Shaib, Akce, Diab, Wu and El-Rayes.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

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Auteurs

Olatunji B Alese (OB)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Wei Zhou (W)

Winship Data and Technology Applications Shared Resource, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Renjian Jiang (R)

Winship Data and Technology Applications Shared Resource, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Katerina Zakka (K)

Department of Medicine, Wellstar Atlanta Medical Center, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Zhonglu Huang (Z)

Winship Data and Technology Applications Shared Resource, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Chimuanya Okoli (C)

Department of Medicine, Advocate Illinois Masonic Medical Center, Chicago, IL, United States.

Walid L Shaib (WL)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Mehmet Akce (M)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Maria Diab (M)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Christina Wu (C)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Bassel F El-Rayes (BF)

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Classifications MeSH