Recalibrating the Non-Communicable Diseases risk prediction tools for the rural population of Western India.
BMI
CBAC
CVD
Diabetes
Hypertension
IDRS
NCD
Waist Hip Ratio
Journal
BMC public health
ISSN: 1471-2458
Titre abrégé: BMC Public Health
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100968562
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
22 02 2022
22 02 2022
Historique:
received:
25
06
2021
accepted:
16
02
2022
entrez:
23
2
2022
pubmed:
24
2
2022
medline:
20
4
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
The aim of the present study was to recalibrate the effectiveness of Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) and Community-Based Assessment Checklist (CBAC) by opportunistic screening of Diabetes Mellitus (DM) and Hypertension (HT) among the people attending health centres, and estimating the risk of fatal and non-fatal Cardio-Vascular Diseases (CVDs) among them using WHO/ISH charts. All the people aged ≥ 30 years attending the health centers were screened for DM and HT. Weight, height, waist circumference, and hip circumferences were measured, and BMI and Waist-Hip Ratio (WHR) were calculated. Risk categorization of all participants was done using IDRS, CBAC, and WHO/ISH risk prediction charts. Individuals diagnosed with DM or HT were started on treatment. The data was recorded using Epicollect5 and was analyzed using SPSS v.23 and MedCalc v.19.8. ROC curves were plotted for DM and HT with the IDRS, CBAC score, and anthropometric parameters. Sensitivity (SN), specificity (SP), Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), Accuracy and Youden's index were calculated for different cut-offs of IDRS and CBAC scores. A total of 942 participants were included for the screening, out of them, 9.2% (95% CI: 7.45-11.31) were diagnosed with DM for the first time. Hypertension was detected among 25.7% (95% CI: 22.9-28.5) of the participants. A total of 447 (47.3%) participants were found with IDRS score ≥ 60, and 276 (29.3%) with CBAC score > 4. As much as 26.1% were at moderate to higher risk (≥ 10%) of developing CVDs. Area Under the Curve (AUC) for IDRS in predicting DM was 0.64 (0.58-0.70), with 67.1% SN and 55.2% SP (Youden's Index 0.22). While the AUC for CBAC was 0.59 (0.53-0.65). For hypertension both the AUCs were 0.66 (0.62-0.71) and 0.63 (0.59-0.67), respectively. IDRS was found to have the maximum AUC and sensitivity thereby demonstrating its usefulness as compared to other tools for screening of both diabetes and hypertension. It thus has the potential to expose the hidden NCD iceberg. Hence, we propose IDRS as a useful tool in screening of Diabetes and Hypertension in rural India.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
The aim of the present study was to recalibrate the effectiveness of Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) and Community-Based Assessment Checklist (CBAC) by opportunistic screening of Diabetes Mellitus (DM) and Hypertension (HT) among the people attending health centres, and estimating the risk of fatal and non-fatal Cardio-Vascular Diseases (CVDs) among them using WHO/ISH charts.
METHODS
All the people aged ≥ 30 years attending the health centers were screened for DM and HT. Weight, height, waist circumference, and hip circumferences were measured, and BMI and Waist-Hip Ratio (WHR) were calculated. Risk categorization of all participants was done using IDRS, CBAC, and WHO/ISH risk prediction charts. Individuals diagnosed with DM or HT were started on treatment. The data was recorded using Epicollect5 and was analyzed using SPSS v.23 and MedCalc v.19.8. ROC curves were plotted for DM and HT with the IDRS, CBAC score, and anthropometric parameters. Sensitivity (SN), specificity (SP), Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), Accuracy and Youden's index were calculated for different cut-offs of IDRS and CBAC scores.
RESULTS
A total of 942 participants were included for the screening, out of them, 9.2% (95% CI: 7.45-11.31) were diagnosed with DM for the first time. Hypertension was detected among 25.7% (95% CI: 22.9-28.5) of the participants. A total of 447 (47.3%) participants were found with IDRS score ≥ 60, and 276 (29.3%) with CBAC score > 4. As much as 26.1% were at moderate to higher risk (≥ 10%) of developing CVDs. Area Under the Curve (AUC) for IDRS in predicting DM was 0.64 (0.58-0.70), with 67.1% SN and 55.2% SP (Youden's Index 0.22). While the AUC for CBAC was 0.59 (0.53-0.65). For hypertension both the AUCs were 0.66 (0.62-0.71) and 0.63 (0.59-0.67), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
IDRS was found to have the maximum AUC and sensitivity thereby demonstrating its usefulness as compared to other tools for screening of both diabetes and hypertension. It thus has the potential to expose the hidden NCD iceberg. Hence, we propose IDRS as a useful tool in screening of Diabetes and Hypertension in rural India.
Identifiants
pubmed: 35193546
doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-12783-z
pii: 10.1186/s12889-022-12783-z
pmc: PMC8862298
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
376Informations de copyright
© 2022. The Author(s).
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