Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
09 03 2022
09 03 2022
Historique:
received:
23
07
2021
accepted:
04
02
2022
entrez:
10
3
2022
pubmed:
11
3
2022
medline:
18
3
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been holding the world hostage for several years now. Mobility is key to viral spreading and its restriction is the main non-pharmaceutical interventions to fight the virus expansion. Previous works have shown a connection between the structural organization of cities and the movement patterns of their residents. This puts urban centers in the focus of epidemic surveillance and interventions. Here we show that the organization of urban flows has a tremendous impact on disease spreading and on the amenability of different mitigation strategies. By studying anonymous and aggregated intra-urban flows in a variety of cities in the United States and other countries, and a combination of empirical analysis and analytical methods, we demonstrate that the response of cities to epidemic spreading can be roughly classified in two major types according to the overall organization of those flows. Hierarchical cities, where flows are concentrated primarily between mobility hotspots, are particularly vulnerable to the rapid spread of epidemics. Nevertheless, mobility restrictions in such types of cities are very effective in mitigating the spread of a virus. Conversely, in sprawled cities which present many centers of activity, the spread of an epidemic is much slower, but the response to mobility restrictions is much weaker and less effective. Investing resources on early monitoring and prompt ad-hoc interventions in more vulnerable cities may prove helpful in containing and reducing the impact of future pandemics.
Identifiants
pubmed: 35264587
doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-06720-8
pii: 10.1038/s41598-022-06720-8
pmc: PMC8907266
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
3816Subventions
Organisme : CSIC funded by a contribution of AENA
ID : CSIC-COVID-19-039
Organisme : CSIC funded by a contribution of AENA
ID : CSIC-COVID-19-039
Organisme : CSIC funded by a contribution of AENA
ID : CSIC-COVID-19-039
Organisme : CSIC funded by a contribution of AENA
ID : CSIC-COVID-19-039
Organisme : Agencia Estatal de Investigación
ID : RTI2018-093732-B-C22
Organisme : Agencia Estatal de Investigación
ID : RTI2018-093732-B-C22
Organisme : Agencia Estatal de Investigación
ID : RTI2018-093732-B-C22
Organisme : Agencia Estatal de Investigación
ID : RTI2018-093732-B-C22
Organisme : UK EPSRC
ID : EP/S027920/1
Organisme : UK EPSRC
ID : EP/S027920/1
Organisme : National Science Foundation
ID : IIS-2029095
Organisme : National Science Foundation
ID : IIS-2029095
Organisme : National Science Foundation
ID : IIS-2029095
Organisme : Army Research Office
ID : W911NF-18-1-0421
Organisme : Army Research Office
ID : W911NF-18-1-0421
Organisme : Army Research Office
ID : W911NF-18-1-0421
Organisme : Government of the Balearic Islands and the European Social Fund
ID : FPI/2090/2018
Informations de copyright
© 2022. The Author(s).
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