Climate oscillations drive millennial-scale changes in seabird colony size.

Holocene North Atlantic Oscillation climate change paleolimnology population dynamics pycnocline seabirds shifting baselines

Journal

Global change biology
ISSN: 1365-2486
Titre abrégé: Glob Chang Biol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9888746

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
07 2022
Historique:
revised: 12 03 2022
received: 10 01 2022
accepted: 15 03 2022
pubmed: 24 3 2022
medline: 18 6 2022
entrez: 23 3 2022
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Seabird population size is intimately linked to the physical, chemical, and biological processes of the oceans. Yet, the overall effects of long-term changes in ocean dynamics on seabird colonies are difficult to quantify. Here, we used dated lake sediments to reconstruct ~10,000-years of seabird dynamics in the Northwest Atlantic to determine the influences of Holocene-scale climatic oscillations on colony size. On Baccalieu Island (Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada)-where the world's largest colony of Leach's storm-petrel (Hydrobates leucorhous Vieillot 1818) currently breeds-our data track seabird colony growth in response to warming during the Holocene Thermal Maximum (ca. 9000 to 6000 BP). From ca. 5200 BP to the onset of the Little Ice Age (ca. 550 BP), changes in colony size were correlated to variations in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). By contrasting the seabird trends from Baccalieu Island to millennial-scale changes of storm-petrel populations from Grand Colombier Island (an island in the Northwest Atlantic that is subjected a to different ocean climate), we infer that changes in NAO influenced the ocean circulation, which translated into, among many things, changes in pycnocline depth across the Northwest Atlantic basin where the storm-petrels feed. We hypothesize that the depth of the pycnocline is likely a strong bottom-up control on surface-feeding storm-petrels through its influence on prey accessibility. Since the Little Ice Age (LIA), the effects of ocean dynamics on seabird colony size have been altered by anthropogenic impacts. Subsequently, the colony on Baccalieu Island grew at an unprecedented rate to become the world's largest resulting from favorable conditions linked to climate warming, increased vegetation (thereby nesting habitat), and attraction of recruits from other colonies that are now in decline. We show that although ocean dynamics were an important driver of seabird colony dynamics, its recent influence has been modified by human interference.

Identifiants

pubmed: 35320599
doi: 10.1111/gcb.16171
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

4292-4307

Informations de copyright

© 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Références

Barbraud, C., Rolland, V., Jenouvrier, S., Nevoux, M., Delord, K., & Weimerskirch, H. (2012). Effects of climate change and fisheries bycatch on Southern Ocean seabirds: A review. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 454, 285-307. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps09616
Bicknell, A. W. J., Knight, M. E., Bilton, D., Reid, J. B., Burke, T., & Votier, S. C. (2012). Population genetic structure and long-distance dispersal among seabird populations: Implications for colony persistence. Molecular Ecology, 21, 2863-2876. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2012.05558.x
Blaauw, M., Christen, J. A., & Aquino-López, M. A. (2021). rbacon: Age-depth modelling using Bayesian statistics. R package version 2.5.5. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rbacon
Bochdansky, A. B., Dunbar, R. B., Hansell, D. A., & Herndl, G. J. (2019). Estimating carbon flux from optically recording total particle volume at depths below the primary pycnocline. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 778. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00778
ter Braak, C. J. F., & van Dam, H. (1989). Inferring pH from diatoms: A comparison of old and new calibration methods. Hydrobiologia, 178, 209-223. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00006028
Buren, A. D., Koen-Alonso, M., Pepin, P., Mowbray, F., Nakashima, B., Stenson, G., Ollerhead, N., & Montevecchi, W. A. (2014). Bottom-up regulation of capelin, a keystone forage species. PLoS One, 9(2), e87589. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087589
Champagnon, J., Lebreton, J.-D., Drummond, H., & Anderson, D. J. (2018). Pacific Decadal and El Niño oscillations shape survival of a seabird. Ecology, 99(5), 1063-1072. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2179
Chan, P., Halfar, J., Adey, W., Hetzinger, S., Zack, T., Moore, G. W. K., Wortmann, U. G., Williams, B., & Hou, A. (2017). Multicentennial record of Labrador Sea primary productivity and sea-ice variability archived in coralline algal barium. Nature Communications, 8, 15543. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15543
Clarke, K. R. (1993). Non-parametric multivariate analyses of changes in community structure. Australian Journal of Ecology, 18(1), 117-143. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1442-9993.1993.tb00438.x
Daly, K. L., & Smith, W. O. (1993). Physical-biological interactions influencing marine plankton production. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 24, 555-585. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.es.24.110193.003011
Duda, M. P., Allen-Mahé, S., Barbraud, C., Blais, J. M., Boudreau, A., Bryant, R., Delord, K., Grooms, C., Kimpe, L. E., Letournel, B., Lim, J. E., Lormée, H., Michelutti, N., Robertson, G. J., Urtizbéréa, F., Wilhelm, S. I., & Smol, J. P. (2020a). Linking 19th century European settlement to the disruption of a seabird’s natural population dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(51), 32484-32492. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2016811117
Duda, M. P., Glew, J. R., Michelutti, N., Robertson, G. J., Montevecchi, W. A., Kissinger, J. A., Eickmeyer, D. C., Blais, J. M., & Smol, J. P. (2020b). Long-term changes in terrestrial vegetation linked to shifts in a colonial seabird population. Ecosystems, 23, 1643-1656. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-020-00494-8
Duda, M. P., Hargan, K. E., Michelutti, N., Blais, J. M., Grooms, C., Gilchrist, H. G., Mallory, M. L., Robertson, G. J., & Smol, J. P. (2021a). Reconstructing long-term changes in avian populations using lake sediments: Opening a window onto the past. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 698175. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.698175
Duda, M. P., Hargan, K. E., Michelutti, N., Kimpe, L. E., Clyde, N., Gilchrist, H. G., Mallory, M. L., Blais, J. M., & Smol, J. P. (2018). Breeding eider ducks strongly influence subarctic coastal pond chemistry. Aquatic Sciences, 80(40). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-018-0591-2
Duda, M. P., Michelutti, N., Wang, X., & Smol, J. P. (2021b). Categorizing the influences of two large seabird colonies on island freshwater ecosystems in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean. Hydrobiologia, 848, 885-900. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-020-04498-2
Duda, M. P., Robertson, G. J., Lim, J. E., Kissinger, J. A., Eickmeyer, D. C., Grooms, C., Kimpe, L. E., Montevecchi, W. A., Michelutti, N., Blais, J. M., & Smol, J. P. (2020c). Striking centennial-scale changes in the population size of a threatened seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287(1919), 20192234. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2019.2234
Durant, J. M., Hjermann, D. Ø., Frederiksen, M., Charrassin, J. B., Le Maho, Y., Sabarros, P. S., Crawford, R., & Stenseth, N. C. (2009). Pros and cons of using seabirds as ecological indicators. Climate Research, 39(2), 115-129. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00798
Emslie, S. D., Coats, L., & Licht, K. (2007). A 45,000 yr record of Adélie penguins and climate change in the Ross Sea, Antarctica. Geology, 35(1), 61-64. https://doi.org/10.1130/G23011A.1
Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO). (2021). Marine environmental data section archive. Ecosystem and Oceans Science. https://meds-sdmm.dfo-mpo.gc.ca
Gao, Y., Yang, L., Wang, J., Xie, Z., Wang, Y., & Sun, L. (2018). Penguin colonization following the last glacial-interglacial transition in the Vestfold Hills, East Antarctica. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 490, 629-639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.11.053
Ginn, B. K. (2006). Assessment of surface-water acidification using diatoms as paleoecological indicators in low alkalinity lakes in Nova Scotia (Canada) with a focus on lakes in Kejimkujik and Cape Breton Highlands National Parks. Ph.D thesis, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON, Canada.
Gjerdrum, C., Ronconi, R. A., Turner, K. L., & Hamer, T. E. (2021). Bird strandings and bright lights at coastal and offshore industrial sites in Atlantic Canada. Avian Conservation and Ecology, 16(1), 22. https://doi.org/10.5751/ACE-01860-160122
Glew, J. R. (1988). A portable extruding device for close interval sectioning of unconsolidated core samples. Journal of Paleolimnology, 1, 235-239. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00177769
Glew, J. R., & Smol, J. P. (2016). A push corer developed for retrieving high-resolution sediment cores from shallow waters. Journal of Paleolimnology, 56, 67-71. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10933-015-9873-z
Grémillet, D., Fort, J., Amélineau, F., Zakharova, E., Le Bot, T., Sala, E., & Gavrilo, M. (2015). Arctic warming: Nonlinear impacts of sea-ice and glacier melt on seabird foraging. Global Change Biology, 21(3), 1116-1123. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12811
Han, G., Lu, Z., Wang, Z., Helbig, J., Chen, N., & de Young, B. (2008). Seasonal variability of the Labrador Current and shelf circulation off Newfoundland. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 113(10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004376
Han, Q., Chen, N., & Ma, Z. (2014). Is there a north-south phase shift in the surface Labrador Current transport on the interannual-to-decadal scale?Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119(1), 276-287. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC009102
Hansen, E. S., Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K. E., Yoccoz, N. G., Anker-Nilssen, T., Bader, J., Descamps, S., Hodges, K., Mesquita, M. D. S., Reiertsen, T. K., & Varpe, Ø. (2021). Centennial relationships between ocean temperature and Atlantic puffin production reveal shifting decennial trends. Global Change Biology, 27(16), 3753-3764. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15665
Hátún, H., Lohmann, K., Matei, D., Jungclaus, J. H., Pacariz, S., Bersch, M., Gislason, A., Ólafsson, J., & Reid, P. C. (2016). An inflated subpolar gyre blows life toward the northeastern Atlantic. Progress in Oceanography, 147, 49-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2016.07.009
Hátún, H., Olsen, B., & Pacariz, S. (2017). The dynamics of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre introduces predictability to the breeding success of kittiwakes. Frontiers in Marine Science, 4, 123. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2017.00123
Hedd, A., Montevecchi, W. A., Davoren, G. K., & Fifield, D. A. (2009). Diets and distributions of Leach’s storm-petrel (Oceanodroma leucorhoa) before and after an ecosystem shift in the Northwest Atlantic. Canadian Journal of Zoology, 801, 787-801. https://doi.org/10.1139/Z09-060
Hedd, A., Pollet, I. L., Maucke, R. A., Burke, C. M., Mallory, M. L., McFarlane Tranquilla, L. A., Montevecchi, W. A., Robertson, G. J., Ronconi, R. A., Shutler, D., Wilhelm, S. I., & Burgess, N. M. (2018). Foraging areas, offshore habitat use and colony overlap by incubating Leach’s storm-petrels Oceanodroma leucorhoa in the Northwest Atlantic. PLoS One, 13(5), e0194389. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0194389
Holliday, N. P., Bersch, M., Berx, B., Chafik, L., Cunningham, S., Florindo-López, C., Hátún, H., Johns, W., Josey, S. A., Larsen, K. M. H., Mulet, S., Oltmanns, M., Reverdin, G., Rossby, T., Thierry, V., Valdimarsson, H., & Yashayaev, I. (2020). Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic. Nature Communications, 11, 585. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14474-y
Honda, K., Marcovecchio, J. E., Kan, S., Tatsukawa, R., & Ogi, H. (1990). Metal concentrations in pelagic seabirds from the North Pacific Ocean. Archives of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology, 19(5), 704-711. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01183988
Huang, T., Yang, L., Chu, Z., Sun, L., & Yin, X. (2016). Geochemical record of high emperor penguin populations during the Little Ice Age at Amanda Bay, Antarctica. Science of the Total Environment, 565, 1185-1191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.166
Hurrell, J. W. (1995). Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269(5224), 676-679. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.269.5224.676
Irons, D. B., Anker-Nilssen, T., Gaston, A. J., Byrd, G. V., Falk, K., Gilchrist, G., Hario, M., Hjernquist, M., Krasnov, Y. V., Mosbech, A., Olsen, B., Petersen, A., Reid, J. B., Robertson, G. J., Strøm, H., & Wohl, K. D. (2008). Fluctuations in circumpolar seabird populations linked to climate oscillations. Global Change Biology, 14, 1455-1463. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01581.x
Jenouvrier, S., Desprez, M., Fay, R., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Delord, K., & Caswell, H. (2018). Climate change and functional traits affect population dynamics of a long-lived seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 87(4), 906-920. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12827
Johnson, T. M. S., & Rudnick, D. L. (2009). Observations of the transition layer. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 39(3), 780-797. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JPO3824.1
Jowsey, P. C. (1966). An improved peat sampler. New Phytologist, 65(2), 245-248. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.1966.tb06356.x
Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetmaa, A., … Joseph, D. (1996). The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 77(3), 437-472. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
Keeling, C. D. (1979). The Suess Effect: 13Carbon-14Carbon interrelations. Environment International, 2(4-6), 229-300. https://doi.org/10.1016/0160-4120(79)90005-9
Keigwin, L. D., Sachs, J. P., Rosenthal, Y., & Boyle, E. A. (2005). The 8200 year B.P. event in the slope water system, western subpolar North Atlantic. Paleoceanography, 20(2), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004PA001074
Levac, E. (2003). Palynological records from Bay of Islands, Newfoundland: Direct correlation of Holocene paleoceanographic and climatic changes. Palynology, 27, 135-154. https://doi.org/10.2113/27.1.135
Liu, X.-D., Li, H.-C., Sun, L.-G., Yin, X.-B., Zhao, S.-P., & Wang, Y.-H. (2006). δ13C and δ15N in the ornithogenic sediments from the Antarctic maritime as palaeoecological proxies during the past 2000 yr. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 243(3-4), 424-438. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2006.01.018
Lock, J. W., Thompson, D. R., Furness, R. W., & Bartle, J. A. (1992). Metal concentrations in seabirds of the New Zealand region. Environmental Pollution, 75(3), 289-300. https://doi.org/10.1016/0269-7491(92)90129-X
Lohmann, K., Drange, H., & Bentsen, M. (2009). Response of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre to persistent North Atlantic oscillation like forcing. Climate Dynamics, 32, 273-285. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0467-6
MacIntyre, S., Alldredge, A. L., & Gotschalk, C. C. (1995). Accumulation of marine snow at density discontinuities in the water column. Limnology and Oceanography, 40(3), 449-468. https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1995.40.3.0449
Mauck, R. A., Dearborn, D. C., & Huntington, C. E. (2018). Annual global mean temperature explains reproductive success in a marine vertebrate from 1955 to 2010. Global Change Biology, 24(4), 1599-1613. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13982
McCarthy, F. M. G., Collins, E. S., McAndrews, J. H., Kerr, H. A., Scott, D. B., & Medioli, F. S. (1995). A comparison of postglacial Arcellacean (“Thecamoebian”) and pollen succession in Atlantic Canada, illustrating the potential of Arcellaceans for paleoclimatic reconstruction. Journal of Paleontology, 69(5), 980-993. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022336000035630
McDougall, T. J., & Barker, P. M. (2011). Getting Started with TEOS-10 and the Gibbs Seawater (GSW) Oceanographic Toolbox. SCOR/IAPSO WG127.
McMahon, C. R., Hindell, M. A., Charrassin, J.-B., Corney, S., Guinet, C., Harcourt, R., Jonsen, I., Trebilco, R., Williams, G., & Bestley, S. (2019). Finding mesopelagic prey in a changing Southern Ocean. Scientific Reports, 9, 19013. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-55152-4
Meyer-Jacob, C., Michelutti, N., Paterson, A. M., Monteith, D., Yang, H., Weckström, J., Smol, J. P., & Bindler, R. (2017). Inferring past trends in lake-water organic carbon concentrations in northern lakes using sediment spectroscopy. Environmental Science & Technology, 51(22), 13248-13255. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b03147
Meyers, P. A. (1994). Preservation of elemental and isotopic source identification of sedimentary organic matter. Chemical Geology, 114(3-4), 289-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/0009-2541(94)90059-0
Michelutti, N., Blais, J. M., Cumming, B. F., Paterson, A. M., Rühland, K., Wolfe, A. P., & Smol, J. P. (2010a). Do spectrally inferred determinations of chlorophyll a reflect trends in lake trophic status?Journal of Paleolimnology, 43, 205-217. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10933-009-9325-8
Michelutti, N., Blais, J. M., Mallory, M. L., Brash, J., Thienpont, J., Kimpe, L. E., Douglas, M. S. V., & Smol, J. P. (2010b). Trophic position influences the efficacy of seabirds as metal biovectors. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107(23), 10543-10548. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1001333107
Michelutti, N., & Smol, J. P. (2016). Visible spectroscopy reliably tracks trends in paleo-production. Journal of Paleolimnology, 56, 253-265. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10933-016-9921-3
Montevecchi, W. A., & Myers, R. A. (1997). Centurial and decadal oceanographic influences on changes in northern gannet populations and diets in the north-west Atlantic: Implications for climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 54, 608-614. https://doi.org/10.1006/jmsc.1997.0265
Munk, W. H. (1950). On the wind-driven ocean circulation. Journal of Meteorology, 7(2), 79-93. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1950)007<0080:OTWDOC>2.0.CO;2
Murphy, H. M., Adamack, A. T., & Cyr, F. (2021). Identifying possible drivers of the abrupt and persistent delay in capelin spawning timing following the 1991 stock collapse in Newfoundland, Canada. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 78(8), 2709-2723. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab144
Oksanen, J., Blanchet, F. G., Friendly, M., Kindt, R., Legendre, P., McGlinn, D., Minchin, P. R., O'Hara, R. B., Simpson, G. L., Solymos, P., Stevens, M. H. H., Szoecs, E., & Wagner, H. (2020). vegan: Community ecology package. R package version 2.5-7. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=vegan
Olsen, J., Anderson, N. J., & Knudsen, M. F. (2012). Variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the past 5,200 years. Nature Geoscience, 5(11), 808-812. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1589
Orgeret, F., Thiebault, A., Kovacs, K. M., Lydersen, C., Hindell, M. A., Thompson, S. A., Sydeman, W. J., & Pistorius, P. A. (2021). Climate change impacts on seabirds and marine mammals: The importance of study duration, thermal tolerance and generation time. Ecology Letters, 25(1), 218-239. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13920
Orme, L. C., Miettinen, A., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Tuominen, K., Pearce, C., Divine, D. V., Oskman, M., & Kuijpers, A. (2021). Mid to Late-Holocene sea-surface temperature variability off north-eastern Newfoundland and its linkage to the North Atlantic Oscillation. Holocene, 31(1), 3-15. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683620961488
Ottersen, G., Planque, B., Belgrano, A., Post, E., Reid, P. C., & Stenseth, N. C. (2001). Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Oecologia, 128(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s004420100655
Paleczny, M., Hammill, E., Karpouzi, V., & Pauly, D. (2015). Population trend of the world’s monitored seabirds, 1950-2010. PLoS One, 10(6), e0129342. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0129342
Parks and Natural Areas Division (PNAD). (1995). Baccalieu Island ecological reserve management plan and regulations. https://www.gov.nl.ca/ecc/files/natural-areas-pdf-baccalieu-island-ecological-reserve.pdf
Paterson, I. G., & Snyder, M. (1999). Molecular genetic (RAPD) analysis of Leach’s storm-petrels. The Auk, 116(2), 338-344. https://doi.org/10.2307/4089368
Pauly, D. (1995). Anecdotes and the shifting baseline syndrome of fisheries. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 10(10), 430. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-5347(00)89171-5
Petrie, B. (2007). Does the North Atlantic Oscillation affect hydrographic properties on the Canadian Atlantic Continental Shelf?Atmosphere-Ocean, 45(3), 141-151. https://doi.org/10.3137/ao.450302
Pollet, I. L., Bond, A. L., Hedd, A., Huntington, C. E., Butler, R. G., & Mauck, R. (2021). Leach's Storm-Petrel (Hydrobates leucorhous), version 1.1. In Birds of the World. Cornell Lab of Ornithology. https://doi.org/10.2173/bow.lcspet.01.1
Prairie, J. C., & White, B. L. (2017). A model for thin layer formation by delayed particle settling at sharp density gradients. Continental Shelf Research, 133, 37-46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2016.12.007
Prairie, J. C., Ziervogel, K., Camassa, R., McLaughlin, R. M., White, B. L., Dewald, C., & Arnosti, C. (2015). Delayed settling of marine snow: Effects of density gradient and particle properties and implications for carbon cycling. Marine Chemistry, 175, 28-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2015.04.006
Reimer, P. J., Austin, W. E. N., Bard, E., Bayliss, A., Blackwell, P. G., Ramsey, C. B., Butzin, M., Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., Friedrich, M., Grootes, P. M., Guilderson, T. P., Hajdas, I., Heaton, T. J., Hogg, A. G., Hughen, K. A., Kromer, B., Manning, S. W., Muscheler, R., … Talamo, S. (2020). The IntCal20 Northern Hemisphere radiocarbon age calibration curve (0-55 cal kBP). Radiocarbon, 62(4), 725-757. https://doi.org/10.1017/RDC.2020.41
Saba, V. S., Griffies, S. M., Anderson, W. G., Winton, M., Alexander, M. A., Delworth, T. L., Hare, J. A., Harrison, M. J., Rosati, A., Vecchi, G. A., & Zhang, R. (2016). Enhanced warming of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean under climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, 118-132. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011346
Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K. E., Barrett, R. T., & Yoccoz, N. G. (2005). The effect of climate on adult survival in five species of North Atlantic seabirds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74(5), 817-831. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2005.00981.x
Sarafanov, A. (2009). On the effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on temperature and salinity of the subpolar north Atlantic intermediate and deep waters. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66(7), 1448-1454. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsp094
Schelske, C. L., & Hodell, D. A. (1995). Using carbon isotopes of bulk sedimentary organic matter to reconstruct the history of nutrient loading and eutrophication in Lake Erie. Limnology and Oceanography, 40(5), 918-929. https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1995.40.5.0918
Sheldon, C. M., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Pearce, C., Kuijpers, A., Hansen, M. J., & Christensen, E. Z. (2016). Holocene oceanographic changes in SW Labrador Sea, off Newfoundland. Holocene, 26(2), 274-289. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683615608690
Simpson, G. L. (2018). Modelling palaeoecological time series using generalised additive models. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 6, 149. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2018.00149
Simpson, G. L. (2021). gratia: Graceful ‘ggplot’-based graphics and other functions for GAMs fitted using ‘mgcv’. R package version 0.6.0. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=gratia
Sklepkovych, B. O., & Montevecchi, W. A. (1989). The world’s largest known nesting colony of Leach’s Storm-Petrels on Baccalieu Island, Newfoundland. American Birds, 43(1), 38-42.
Smol, J. P. (2008). Pollution of lakes and rivers: A paleoenvironmental perspective. Blackwell Publishing.
Smol, J. P., & Stoermer, E. F. (Eds.). (2010). The diatoms: Applications for the environmental and earth sciences (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.
Soga, M., & Gaston, K. J. (2018). Shifting baseline syndrome: causes, consequences, and implications. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 16(4), 222-230. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1794
Soldatini, C., Albores-Barajas, Y. V., Massa, B., & Gimenez, O. (2014). Climate driven life histories: The case of the Mediterranean storm petrel. PLoS One, 9(4), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0094526
Stenseth, N. C., Ottersen, G., Hurrell, J. W., Mysterud, A., Lima, M., Chan, K.-S., Yoccuz, N. G., & Ådlandsvik, B. (2003). Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices: The North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 270(1529), 2087-2096. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2003.2415
Stockmarr, J. (1971). Tablets with spores used in absolute pollen analysis. Pollen et Spores, 13(4), 615-621.
Sydeman, W. J., Schoeman, D. S., Thompson, S. A., Hoover, B. A., García-Reyes, M., Daunt, F., Agnew, P., Anker-Nilssen, T., Barbraud, C., Barrett, R., Becker, R., Becker, P. H., Bell, E., Boersma, P. D., Bouwhuis, S., Cannell, B., Crawford, R. J. M., Dann, P., Delord, K., … Watanuki, Y. (2021). Hemispheric asymmetry in ocean change and the productivity of ecosystem sentinels. Science, 372(6545), 980-983. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abf1772
Trouet, V., Scourse, J. D., & Raible, C. C. (2012). North Atlantic storminess and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during the last millennium: Reconciling contradictory proxy records of NAO variability. Global and Planetary Change, 84-85, 48-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.10.003
Wang, Z., Brickman, D., Greenan, B. J. W., & Yashayaev, I. (2016). An abrupt shift in the Labrador Current System in relation to winter NAO events. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121(7), 5338-5349. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JC011721
Wanner, H., Beer, J., Bütikofer, J., Crowley, T. J., Cubasch, U., Flückiger, J., Goosse, H., Grosjean, M., Joos, F., Kaplan, J. O., Küttel, M., Müller, S. A., Prentice, I. C., Solomina, O., Stocker, T. F., Tarasov, P., Wagner, M., & Widmann, M. (2008). Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: An overview. Quaternary Science Reviews, 27(19-20), 1791-1828. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.06.013
Widder, E. A., Johnsen, S., Bernstein, S. A., Case, J. F., & Neilson, D. J. (1999). Thin layers of bioluminescent copepods found at density discontinuities in the water column. Marine Biology, 134(3), 429-437. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002270050559
Wilhelm, S. I., Dooley, S. M., Corbett, E. P., Fitzsimmons, M. G., Ryan, P. C., & Robertson, G. J. (2021). Effects of land-based light pollution on two species of burrow-nesting seabirds in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. Avian Conservation and Ecology, 16(1), 12. https://doi.org/10.5751/ACE-01809-160112
Wilhelm, S. I., Hedd, A., Robertson, G. J., Mailhiot, J., Regular, P. M., Ryan, P. C., & Elliot, R. D. (2020). The world’s largest breeding colony of Leach’s storm-petrel Hydrobates leucorhous has declined. Bird Conservation International, 30(1), 40-57. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0959270919000248
Wood, S. (2017). Generalized additive models: An introduction with R (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC.

Auteurs

Matthew P Duda (MP)

Paleoecological Environmental Assessment and Research Lab (PEARL), Department of Biology, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.

Frédéric Cyr (F)

Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Centre, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada.

Gregory J Robertson (GJ)

Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Mount Pearl, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada.

Neal Michelutti (N)

Paleoecological Environmental Assessment and Research Lab (PEARL), Department of Biology, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.

Carsten Meyer-Jacob (C)

Paleoecological Environmental Assessment and Research Lab (PEARL), Department of Biology, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.

April Hedd (A)

Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Mount Pearl, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada.

William A Montevecchi (WA)

Departments of Psychology and Biology, Cognitive and Behavioural Ecology Program, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada.

Linda E Kimpe (LE)

Department of Biology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

Jules M Blais (JM)

Department of Biology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

John P Smol (JP)

Paleoecological Environmental Assessment and Research Lab (PEARL), Department of Biology, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.

Articles similaires

[Redispensing of expensive oral anticancer medicines: a practical application].

Lisanne N van Merendonk, Kübra Akgöl, Bastiaan Nuijen
1.00
Humans Antineoplastic Agents Administration, Oral Drug Costs Counterfeit Drugs

Smoking Cessation and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Jun Hwan Cho, Seung Yong Shin, Hoseob Kim et al.
1.00
Humans Male Smoking Cessation Cardiovascular Diseases Female
Humans United States Aged Cross-Sectional Studies Medicare Part C
1.00
Humans Yoga Low Back Pain Female Male

Classifications MeSH