Risk of liver-related events by age and diabetes duration in patients with diabetes and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.


Journal

Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)
ISSN: 1527-3350
Titre abrégé: Hepatology
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8302946

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
11 2022
Historique:
revised: 08 03 2022
received: 05 01 2022
accepted: 23 03 2022
pubmed: 26 3 2022
medline: 22 10 2022
entrez: 25 3 2022
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Several guidelines recommend screening for NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to determine if there is a threshold of age and duration of T2D for liver-related event development to guide screening strategies. We conducted a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NAFLD and T2D diagnosed between 2000 and 2014 in Hong Kong to allow for at least 5 years of follow-up. The primary endpoint was liver-related events, defined as a composite of HCC and cirrhotic complications. This study included 7028 patients with NAFLD with T2D (mean age, 56.1 ± 13.3 years; 3363 male [47.9%]). During a follow-up of 77,308 person-years, there was a threshold effect with 1.1%, 4.9%, and 94.0% of patients developing liver-related events at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. Similarly, 3.1%, 5.1%, and 91.8% of patients developed cirrhosis at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. In contrast, liver-related events increased linearly with diabetes duration, with no difference in the annual incidence rate between the first 10 years of T2D diagnosis and subsequent years (0.06% vs. 0.10%; p = 0.136). On multivariable analysis, baseline age ≥50 years (adjusted HR [aHR] 2.01) and cirrhosis (aHR 3.12) were the strongest risk factors associated with liver-related events. Substitution of cirrhosis with the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index or the Fibrosis-4 index yielded similar results. Age rather than duration of T2D predicts liver-related events in patients with NAFLD and T2D. It is reasonable to screen patients with NAFLD and T2D for advanced liver disease starting at 50 years of age.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND AIMS
Several guidelines recommend screening for NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to determine if there is a threshold of age and duration of T2D for liver-related event development to guide screening strategies.
APPROACH AND RESULTS
We conducted a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NAFLD and T2D diagnosed between 2000 and 2014 in Hong Kong to allow for at least 5 years of follow-up. The primary endpoint was liver-related events, defined as a composite of HCC and cirrhotic complications. This study included 7028 patients with NAFLD with T2D (mean age, 56.1 ± 13.3 years; 3363 male [47.9%]). During a follow-up of 77,308 person-years, there was a threshold effect with 1.1%, 4.9%, and 94.0% of patients developing liver-related events at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. Similarly, 3.1%, 5.1%, and 91.8% of patients developed cirrhosis at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. In contrast, liver-related events increased linearly with diabetes duration, with no difference in the annual incidence rate between the first 10 years of T2D diagnosis and subsequent years (0.06% vs. 0.10%; p = 0.136). On multivariable analysis, baseline age ≥50 years (adjusted HR [aHR] 2.01) and cirrhosis (aHR 3.12) were the strongest risk factors associated with liver-related events. Substitution of cirrhosis with the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index or the Fibrosis-4 index yielded similar results.
CONCLUSIONS
Age rather than duration of T2D predicts liver-related events in patients with NAFLD and T2D. It is reasonable to screen patients with NAFLD and T2D for advanced liver disease starting at 50 years of age.

Identifiants

pubmed: 35334125
doi: 10.1002/hep.32476
doi:

Substances chimiques

Aspartate Aminotransferases EC 2.6.1.1

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

1409-1422

Informations de copyright

© 2022 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Références

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Auteurs

Xinrong Zhang (X)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Grace Lai-Hung Wong (GL)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Terry Cheuk-Fung Yip (TC)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Johnny T K Cheung (JTK)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Yee-Kit Tse (YK)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Vicki Wing-Ki Hui (VW)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Huapeng Lin (H)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Jimmy Che-To Lai (JC)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Henry Lik-Yuen Chan (HL)

Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Union Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Alice Pik-Shan Kong (AP)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Vincent Wai-Sun Wong (VW)

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Medical Data Analytic Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

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