Delays in Epidemic Outbreak Control Cost Disproportionately Large Treatment Footprints to Offset.
disease management
epidemic control
outbreak control
quarantine area
rapid outbreak response
ring cull
Journal
Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)
ISSN: 2076-0817
Titre abrégé: Pathogens
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101596317
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
24 Mar 2022
24 Mar 2022
Historique:
received:
14
02
2022
revised:
21
03
2022
accepted:
22
03
2022
entrez:
23
4
2022
pubmed:
24
4
2022
medline:
24
4
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Epidemic outbreak control often involves a spatially explicit treatment area (quarantine, inoculation, ring cull) that covers the outbreak area and adjacent regions where hosts are thought to be latently infected. Emphasis on space however neglects the influence of treatment timing on outbreak control. We conducted field and in silico experiments with wheat stripe rust (WSR), a long-distance dispersed plant disease, to understand interactions between treatment timing and area interact to suppress an outbreak. Full-factorial field experiments with three different ring culls (outbreak area only to a 25-fold increase in treatment area) at three different disease control timings (1.125, 1.25, and 1.5 latent periods after initial disease expression) indicated that earlier treatment timing had a conspicuously greater suppressive effect than the area treated. Disease spread computer simulations over a broad range of influential epidemic parameter values (R
Identifiants
pubmed: 35456068
pii: pathogens11040393
doi: 10.3390/pathogens11040393
pmc: PMC9030382
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Références
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010 Jan 19;107(3):1041-6
pubmed: 19955428
Plant Dis. 2002 Jan;86(1):39-46
pubmed: 30822996
Nature. 2014 Jul 10;511(7508):228-31
pubmed: 25008532
Phytopathology. 2017 Jan;107(1):50-58
pubmed: 27482627
Am Nat. 2009 Apr;173(4):456-66
pubmed: 19249979
Science. 1999 Oct 15;286(5439):509-12
pubmed: 10521342
Nature. 2007 Sep 13;449(7159):209-12
pubmed: 17851523
PLoS Med. 2006 Jun;3(6):e212
pubmed: 16640458
Ecology. 2008 Jul;89(7):1784-90
pubmed: 18705366
Phytopathology. 2005 Sep;95(9):983-91
pubmed: 18943296
Plant Pathol. 2017 Jan;66(1):28-37
pubmed: 28082751
Phytopathology. 2005 Sep;95(9):992-1000
pubmed: 18943297
Prev Vet Med. 2012 May 1;104(3-4):224-39
pubmed: 22169708
Phytopathology. 2009 Dec;99(12):1370-6
pubmed: 19900003
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Sep 11;109(37):15066-71
pubmed: 22927414
Science. 2009 Sep 18;325(5947):1536-9
pubmed: 19762641
Epidemics. 2012 Aug;4(3):158-69
pubmed: 22939313
Trends Parasitol. 2006 Dec;22(12):583-8
pubmed: 17049308
Ecol Appl. 2014 Jun;24(4):779-90
pubmed: 24988776
Am J Epidemiol. 1997 Jun 15;145(12):1127-37
pubmed: 9199543
PeerJ. 2017 Jun 20;5:e3465
pubmed: 28649473
Biol Invasions. 2013 Jul 1;15(7):1431-1438
pubmed: 23853520
Phytopathology. 2016 Mar;106(3):244-53
pubmed: 26595112
Proc Biol Sci. 2011 May 22;278(1711):1564-71
pubmed: 21047854
Phytopathology. 2009 Jan;99(1):89-94
pubmed: 19055439
PLoS Comput Biol. 2015 Apr 13;11(4):e1004211
pubmed: 25874622
Annu Rev Phytopathol. 2012;50:379-402
pubmed: 22681449
J R Soc Interface. 2005 Sep 22;2(4):281-93
pubmed: 16849186
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004 Apr 20;101(16):6146-51
pubmed: 15071187
J Exp Biol. 2010 Mar 15;213(6):946-54
pubmed: 20190119
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 May 17;113(20):5640-5
pubmed: 27140631
Nature. 2005 Nov 17;438(7066):355-9
pubmed: 16292310
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1986 Dec 15;314(1167):533-70
pubmed: 2880354
J Appl Ecol. 2014 Dec 1;51(6):1622-1630
pubmed: 25512677
PLoS One. 2014 Aug 12;9(8):e103225
pubmed: 25116080
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:58-62
pubmed: 25843385
Ecol Appl. 2007 Jun;17(4):1244-56
pubmed: 17555232
Nature. 2003 Jan 9;421(6919):136-42
pubmed: 12508120
Trends Ecol Evol. 2005 Jun;20(6):328-36
pubmed: 16701389
Plant Dis. 2004 Aug;88(8):896-904
pubmed: 30812521
Phytopathology. 2015 Jul;105(7):937-46
pubmed: 25871855
Phytopathology. 2001 Oct;91(10):1001-10
pubmed: 18944128
Ecosphere. 2012 Mar 9;3(3):art24
pubmed: 24077925
Am Nat. 2008 Jun;171(6):743-54
pubmed: 18462128
N Engl J Med. 2014 Oct 16;371(16):1481-95
pubmed: 25244186
Annu Rev Phytopathol. 2008;46:385-418
pubmed: 18680429
Annu Rev Phytopathol. 2017 Aug 4;55:591-610
pubmed: 28637378
PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e24577
pubmed: 21931762
Science. 2001 Oct 26;294(5543):813-7
pubmed: 11679661
Plant Dis. 2019 Feb;103(2):177-191
pubmed: 30592698
Phytopathology. 2007 Feb;97(2):202-10
pubmed: 18944376
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Feb 28;114(9):2337-2342
pubmed: 28193880
Biol Rev Camb Philos Soc. 2001 May;76(2):161-209
pubmed: 11396846
Annu Rev Phytopathol. 1994;32:503-21
pubmed: 19877849