Spatial variations in family planning demand to limit childbearing and the demand satisfied with modern methods in sub-Saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND

There is an increasing demand for family planning to limit childbearing in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, limited studies have quantified the spatial variations. This study examined: (i) the spatial patterns in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing and satisfied with modern methods, and (ii) the correlates of the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods in SSA.

METHODS

This study analyzed secondary data on 306,080 married/in-union women obtained from Demographic Health Surveys conducted between 2010 and 2019 in 33 sub-Saharan African countries. We conducted exploratory spatial data analysis, with countries as the unit of analysis. We also performed regression analysis to determine the factors associated with demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods in SSA.

RESULTS

The mean percentage of women who demanded for family planning to limit childbearing by country was 20.5% while the mean prevalence of demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods by country was 46.5%. There was a significant positive global spatial autocorrelation in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing (global Moran's I = 0.3, p = 0.001). The cluster map showed the concentration of cold spots (low-low clusters) in western and central Africa (WCA), while hot spots (high-high clusters) were concentrated in eastern and southern Africa (ESA). Also, the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods showed significant positive global spatial autocorrelation (global Moran's I = 0.2, p = 0.004) and concentration of cold spots in WCA. In the final multivariable regression model the joint family planning decision making (β = 0.34, p < 0.001), and antenatal care (β = 13.98, p < 0.001) were the significant factors associated with the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied by modern methods.

CONCLUSIONS

There are significant spatial variations in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing and the demand satisfied by modern methods, with cold spots concentrated in WCA. Promoting joint decision making by partners and increasing uptake of antenatal care may improve the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods.

In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), studies have shown that the proportion of married women who want to stop having children has been increasing as well as the proportion using modern contraceptive methods among them. These studies also indicated that this proportion of women are higher in certain regions of Africa than the others. To extend these previous findings, we performed geographical analysis to assess how the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children and the ones using modern methods among them differ geographically. Our findings indicated that neighboring countries where the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children was higher than the overall average were concentrated in eastern and southern Africa (ESA), while neighboring countries in which the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children was lower than the overall average were concentrated in western and central Africa (WCA). Similarly, the results also showed that neighboring countries where the proportion of married/in-union women using modern contraceptive methods among those who want to stop having children was lower than the overall average were concentrated in WCA. Our findings suggest that increasing joint decision making on family planning and uptake of antenatal care in SSA may improve the use of modern contraceptive methods among married/in-union women who want to stop childbearing.

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© 2022. The Author(s).