Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
23 06 2022
23 06 2022
Historique:
received:
03
12
2021
accepted:
06
06
2022
entrez:
23
6
2022
pubmed:
24
6
2022
medline:
28
6
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Sea level rise (SLR) will increase adaptation needs along low-lying coasts worldwide. Despite centuries of experience with coastal risk, knowledge about the effectiveness and feasibility of societal adaptation on the scale required in a warmer world remains limited. This paper contrasts end-century SLR risks under two warming and two adaptation scenarios, for four coastal settlement archetypes (Urban Atoll Islands, Arctic Communities, Large Tropical Agricultural Deltas, Resource-Rich Cities). We show that adaptation will be substantially beneficial to the continued habitability of most low-lying settlements over this century, at least until the RCP8.5 median SLR level is reached. However, diverse locations worldwide will experience adaptation limits over the course of this century, indicating situations where even ambitious adaptation cannot sufficiently offset a failure to effectively mitigate greenhouse-gas emissions.
Identifiants
pubmed: 35739282
doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w
pii: 10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w
pmc: PMC9226159
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
10677Informations de copyright
© 2022. The Author(s).
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