Behavioral Economics in the Epidemiology of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Theory and Simulations.
COVID-19
behavioral economics
epidemiology
game theory
public health policy
Journal
International journal of environmental research and public health
ISSN: 1660-4601
Titre abrégé: Int J Environ Res Public Health
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101238455
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
03 08 2022
03 08 2022
Historique:
received:
27
05
2022
revised:
29
07
2022
accepted:
31
07
2022
entrez:
12
8
2022
pubmed:
13
8
2022
medline:
16
8
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
We provide a game-theoretical epidemiological model for the COVID-19 pandemic that takes into account that: (1) asymptomatic individuals can be contagious, (2) contagion is behavior-dependent, (3) behavior is determined by a game that depends on beliefs and social interactions, (4) there can be systematic biases in the perceptions and beliefs about the pandemic. We incorporate lockdown decisions by the government into the model. The citizens' and government's beliefs can exhibit several biases that we discuss from the point of view of behavioral economics. We provide simulations to understand the effect of lockdown decisions and the possibility of "nudging" citizens in the right direction by improving the accuracy of their beliefs.
Identifiants
pubmed: 35954908
pii: ijerph19159557
doi: 10.3390/ijerph19159557
pmc: PMC9368471
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
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