Machine learning-based prediction of fainting during blood donations using donor properties and weather data as features.


Journal

BMC medical informatics and decision making
ISSN: 1472-6947
Titre abrégé: BMC Med Inform Decis Mak
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101088682

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
20 08 2022
Historique:
received: 05 02 2022
accepted: 08 08 2022
entrez: 20 8 2022
pubmed: 21 8 2022
medline: 24 8 2022
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Fainting is a well-known side effect of blood donation. Such adverse experiences can diminish the return rate for further blood donations. Identifying factors associated with fainting could help prevent adverse incidents during blood donation. Data of 85,040 blood donations from whole blood and apheresis donors within four consecutive years were included in this retrospective study. Seven different machine learning models (random forests, artificial neural networks, XGradient Boosting, AdaBoost, logistic regression, K nearest neighbors, and support vector machines) for predicting fainting during blood donation were established. The used features derived from the data obtained from the questionnaire every donor has to fill in before the donation and weather data of the day of the donation. One thousand seven hundred fifteen fainting reactions were observed in 228 846 blood donations from 88,003 donors over a study period of 48 months. Similar values for all machine learning algorithms investigated for NPV, PPV, AUC, and F1-score were obtained. In general, NPV was above 0.996, whereas PPV was below 0.03. AUC and F1-score were close to 0.9 for all models. Essential features predicting fainting during blood donation were systolic and diastolic blood pressure and ambient temperature, humidity, and barometric pressure. Machine-learning algorithms can establish prediction models of fainting in blood donors. These new tools can reduce adverse reactions during blood donation and improve donor safety and minimize negative associations relating to blood donation.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES
Fainting is a well-known side effect of blood donation. Such adverse experiences can diminish the return rate for further blood donations. Identifying factors associated with fainting could help prevent adverse incidents during blood donation.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Data of 85,040 blood donations from whole blood and apheresis donors within four consecutive years were included in this retrospective study. Seven different machine learning models (random forests, artificial neural networks, XGradient Boosting, AdaBoost, logistic regression, K nearest neighbors, and support vector machines) for predicting fainting during blood donation were established. The used features derived from the data obtained from the questionnaire every donor has to fill in before the donation and weather data of the day of the donation.
RESULTS
One thousand seven hundred fifteen fainting reactions were observed in 228 846 blood donations from 88,003 donors over a study period of 48 months. Similar values for all machine learning algorithms investigated for NPV, PPV, AUC, and F1-score were obtained. In general, NPV was above 0.996, whereas PPV was below 0.03. AUC and F1-score were close to 0.9 for all models. Essential features predicting fainting during blood donation were systolic and diastolic blood pressure and ambient temperature, humidity, and barometric pressure.
CONCLUSION
Machine-learning algorithms can establish prediction models of fainting in blood donors. These new tools can reduce adverse reactions during blood donation and improve donor safety and minimize negative associations relating to blood donation.

Identifiants

pubmed: 35987636
doi: 10.1186/s12911-022-01971-x
pii: 10.1186/s12911-022-01971-x
pmc: PMC9392313
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

222

Informations de copyright

© 2022. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Susanne Suessner (S)

Red Cross Transfusion Service of Upper Austria, Krankenhausstraße 7, 4010, Linz, Austria.

Norbert Niklas (N)

Red Cross Transfusion Service of Upper Austria, Krankenhausstraße 7, 4010, Linz, Austria.

Ulrich Bodenhofer (U)

School of Informatics, Communications, and Media, University of Applied Sciences Upper Austria, Softwarepark 11, 4232, Hagenberg, Austria.

Jens Meier (J)

Department for Anesthesiology and Critical Care, Kepler University Clinic, Kepler University Linz, Krankenhausstraße 9, 4010, Linz, Austria. jens.meier@kepleruniklinikum.at.
Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Kepler University Clinic, Johannes Kepler University, Altenberger Strasse 69, 4040, Linz, Austria. jens.meier@kepleruniklinikum.at.

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