Effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on utilisation of primary care services in Nepal: a difference-in-differences analysis.


Journal

BMJ open
ISSN: 2044-6055
Titre abrégé: BMJ Open
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101552874

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
29 11 2022
Historique:
entrez: 29 11 2022
pubmed: 30 11 2022
medline: 2 12 2022
Statut: epublish

Résumé

An increasing number of studies have reported disruptions in health service utilisation due to the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated restrictions. However, little is known about the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on health service utilisation. The objective of this study was to estimate the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on primary care service utilisation in Nepal. Data on utilisation of 10 primary care services were extracted from the Health Management Information System across all health facilities in Nepal. We used a difference-in-differences design and linear fixed effects regressions to estimate the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions. The treatment group included palikas that had lifted restrictions in place from 17 August 2020 to 16 September 2020 (Bhadra 2077) and the control group included palikas that had maintained restrictions during that period. The pre-period included the 4 months of national lockdown from 24 March 2020 to 22 July 2020 (Chaitra 2076 to Ashar 2077). Models included month and palika fixed effects and controlled for COVID-19 incidence. We found that lifting COVID-19 restrictions was associated with an average increase per palika of 57.5 contraceptive users (95% CI 14.6 to 100.5), 15.6 antenatal care visits (95% CI 5.3 to 25.9) and 1.6 child pneumonia visits (95% CI 0.2 to 2.9). This corresponded to a 9.4% increase in contraceptive users, 34.2% increase in antenatal care visits and 15.6% increase in child pneumonia visits. Utilisation of most other primary care services also increased after lifting restrictions, but coefficients were not statistically significant. Despite the ongoing pandemic, lifting restrictions can lead to an increase in some primary care services. Our results point to a causal link between restrictions and health service utilisation and call for policy makers in low- and middle-income countries to carefully consider the trade-offs of strict lockdowns during future COVID-19 waves or future pandemics.

Identifiants

pubmed: 36446449
pii: bmjopen-2022-061849
doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061849
pmc: PMC9709811
doi:

Substances chimiques

Contraceptive Agents 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e061849

Informations de copyright

© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Competing interests: None declared.

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Auteurs

Neena R Kapoor (NR)

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA nkapoor@hsph.harvard.edu.

Amit Aryal (A)

Swiss TPH, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.

Suresh Mehata (S)

Ministry of Health, Government of Nepal, Biratnagar, Province 1, Nepal.

Mahesh Dulal (M)

Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Nepal, Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal.

Margaret E Kruk (ME)

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Sebastian Bauhoff (S)

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Catherine Arsenault (C)

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

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