Investigation of Factors Affecting COVID-19 and Sixth Wave Management Using a System Dynamics Approach.
Journal
Journal of healthcare engineering
ISSN: 2040-2309
Titre abrégé: J Healthc Eng
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528166
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
2022
2022
Historique:
received:
16
05
2022
revised:
12
07
2022
accepted:
29
07
2022
entrez:
6
12
2022
pubmed:
7
12
2022
medline:
23
12
2022
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
The COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the world into a health and economic crisis never seen before since the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918. The closure of schools and universities, the banning of rallies, and other social distancing in countries have been done to disrupt the transmission of the virus. Governments have planned to reduce restrictions on corona management by implementing vaccination programs. This research aims to better understand the Coronavirus disease's behavior, identify the prevalent factors, and adopt effective policies to control the pandemic. This study examines the different scenarios of releasing the constraints and returning to normal conditions before Corona to analyze the results of different scenarios to prevent the occurrence of subsequent peaks. The system dynamics approach is an effective means of studying COVID-19's behavioral characteristics. The factors that affect Coronavirus disease outbreak and control by expanding the basic SEIR model, interventions, and policies, such as vaccination, were investigated in this research. Based on the obtained results, the most critical factor in reducing the prevalence of the disease is reducing the behavioral risks of people and increasing the vaccination process. Observance of hygienic principles leads to disruption of the transmission chain, and vaccination increases the immunity of individuals against the acute type of infection. In addition, the closure of businesses and educational centers, along with government support for incomes, effectively controls and reduces the pandemic, which requires cooperation between the people and the government. In a situation where a new type of corona has spread, if the implementation of the policy of reducing restrictions and reopening schools and universities is done without planning, it will cause a lot of people to suffer.
Identifiants
pubmed: 36471726
doi: 10.1155/2022/4079685
pmc: PMC9719431
doi:
Types de publication
Historical Article
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
4079685Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2022 Nasser Safaie et al.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
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