Distributions of baseline categorical variables were different from the expected distributions in randomized trials with integrity concerns.

Categorical variables Data integrity Fabricated data P-values Randomization Research integrity Statistical methods

Journal

Journal of clinical epidemiology
ISSN: 1878-5921
Titre abrégé: J Clin Epidemiol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8801383

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
02 2023
Historique:
received: 27 10 2022
revised: 08 12 2022
accepted: 21 12 2022
pubmed: 31 12 2022
medline: 22 3 2023
entrez: 30 12 2022
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Comparing observed and expected distributions of baseline continuous variables in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) can be used to assess publication integrity. We explored whether baseline categorical variables could also be used. The observed and expected (binomial) distribution of all baseline categorical variables were compared in four sets of RCTs: two controls, and two with publication integrity concerns. We also compared baseline calculated and reported P-values. The observed and expected distributions of baseline categorical variables were similar in the control datasets, both for frequency counts (and percentages) and for between-group differences in frequency counts. However, in both sets of RCTs with publication integrity concerns, about twice as many variables as expected had between-group differences in frequency counts of one or 2, and far fewer variables than expected had between-group differences of >4 (P < 0.001 for both datasets). Furthermore, about one in six reported P-values for baseline categorial variables differed by > 0.1 from the calculated P-value in trials with publication integrity concerns. Comparing the observed and expected distributions and reported and calculated P-values of baseline categorical variables may help in the assessment of publication integrity of a body of RCTs.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES
Comparing observed and expected distributions of baseline continuous variables in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) can be used to assess publication integrity. We explored whether baseline categorical variables could also be used.
METHODS
The observed and expected (binomial) distribution of all baseline categorical variables were compared in four sets of RCTs: two controls, and two with publication integrity concerns. We also compared baseline calculated and reported P-values.
RESULTS
The observed and expected distributions of baseline categorical variables were similar in the control datasets, both for frequency counts (and percentages) and for between-group differences in frequency counts. However, in both sets of RCTs with publication integrity concerns, about twice as many variables as expected had between-group differences in frequency counts of one or 2, and far fewer variables than expected had between-group differences of >4 (P < 0.001 for both datasets). Furthermore, about one in six reported P-values for baseline categorial variables differed by > 0.1 from the calculated P-value in trials with publication integrity concerns.
CONCLUSION
Comparing the observed and expected distributions and reported and calculated P-values of baseline categorical variables may help in the assessment of publication integrity of a body of RCTs.

Identifiants

pubmed: 36584733
pii: S0895-4356(22)00342-0
doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2022.12.018
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

117-124

Subventions

Organisme : Chief Scientist Office
ID : HSRU1
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Auteurs

Mark J Bolland (MJ)

Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92 019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand; Department of Endocrinology, ADHB, Private Bag 92 024, Auckland 1142, New Zealand. Electronic address: m.bolland@auckland.ac.nz.

Greg D Gamble (GD)

Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92 019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.

Alison Avenell (A)

Health Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill, Aberdeen AB25 2ZD, Scotland.

David J Cooper (DJ)

Health Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill, Aberdeen AB25 2ZD, Scotland.

Andrew Grey (A)

Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92 019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.

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