The transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics: Its aims, assumptions and limitations.
Levels of organization of infectious disease system
Multiscale modelling of infectious disease dynamics
Scales of organization of infectious disease system
Single scale modelling of infectious disease dynamics
The replication-transmission relativity theory of disease dynamics
Transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics
Journal
Infectious Disease Modelling
ISSN: 2468-0427
Titre abrégé: Infect Dis Model
Pays: China
ID NLM: 101692406
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Mar 2023
Mar 2023
Historique:
received:
18
05
2022
revised:
09
12
2022
accepted:
09
12
2022
entrez:
12
1
2023
pubmed:
13
1
2023
medline:
13
1
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Most of the progress in the development of single scale mathematical and computational models for the study of infectious disease dynamics which now span over a century is build on a body of knowledge that has been developed to address particular single scale descriptions of infectious disease dynamics based on understanding disease transmission process. Although this single scale understanding of infectious disease dynamics is now founded on a body of knowledge with a long history, dating back to over a century now, that knowledge has not yet been formalized into a scientific theory. In this article, we formalize this accumulated body of knowledge into a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics which states that at every scale of organization of an infectious disease system, disease dynamics is determined by transmission as the main dynamic disease process. Therefore, the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics can be seen as formalizing knowledge that has been inherent in the study of infectious disease dynamics using single scale mathematical and computational models for over a century now. The objective of this article is to summarize this existing knowledge about single scale modelling of infectious dynamics by means of a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics and highlight its aims, assumptions and limitations.
Identifiants
pubmed: 36632178
doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.12.001
pii: S2468-0427(22)00107-5
pmc: PMC9817174
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
122-144Informations de copyright
© 2022 The Authors.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
The authors declare no competing non-financial/financial interests.
Références
Am J Epidemiol. 1976 Feb;103(2):141-51
pubmed: 766618
Adv Differ Equ. 2017;2017(1):120
pubmed: 32226449
Bull Math Biol. 2019 Oct;81(10):4271-4308
pubmed: 31432306
J Math Biol. 2018 Jul;77(1):107-134
pubmed: 29149377
PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Apr 2;16(4):e1007734
pubmed: 32240165
Math Biosci Eng. 2015 Jun;12(3):625-42
pubmed: 25811559
J Math Biol. 2003 May;46(5):425-44
pubmed: 12750834
Math Biosci. 2002 Nov-Dec;180:1-21
pubmed: 12387913
Math Biosci Eng. 2005 Oct;2(4):811-32
pubmed: 20369954
Popul Health Metr. 2017 Apr 5;15(1):13
pubmed: 28381229
Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 10;7(1):7729
pubmed: 28798313
Int J Epidemiol. 1989 Dec;18(4):749-55
pubmed: 2695472
Math Med Biol. 2016 Mar;33(1):29-55
pubmed: 25678683
PLoS One. 2020 Oct 15;15(10):e0238186
pubmed: 33057348
J Math Biol. 2013 Feb;66(3):535-46
pubmed: 22382994
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 May 4;118(18):
pubmed: 33926962
J Clin Tuberc Other Mycobact Dis. 2017 Feb 10;7:1-12
pubmed: 31723695
PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Nov 19;16(11):e1008305
pubmed: 33211686
Infect Dis Model. 2018 Sep 20;3:176-191
pubmed: 30839905
Math Biosci. 2002 Nov-Dec;180:29-48
pubmed: 12387915
Bull World Health Organ. 1998;76 Suppl 2:22-5
pubmed: 10063669
Energy Ecol Environ. 2020;5(5):389-406
pubmed: 32838024
Comput Math Methods Med. 2012;2012:736394
pubmed: 23197993
Virus Evol. 2019 Jul 08;5(2):vez018
pubmed: 31304043
J Theor Biol. 2019 Aug 21;475:34-59
pubmed: 31128139
J Math Biol. 2016 Jan;72(1-2):1-24
pubmed: 25800537
Rev Saude Publica. 2000 Jun;34(3):223-31
pubmed: 10920443
J Biol Dyn. 2021 Dec;15(1):35-72
pubmed: 33357025
J Biol Dyn. 2017 Dec;11(1):378-435
pubmed: 28849734
Math Biosci Eng. 2008 Jul;5(3):485-504
pubmed: 18616354
Sci Rep. 2019 Nov 8;9(1):16353
pubmed: 31705140