Low risk is low risk, regardless of race or ethnicity: Outcomes of prostate cancer active surveillance and factors associated with reclassification in a racially diverse cohort.

Active surveillance (AS) is the standard for very low- and low-risk prostate cancer. Although risk factors for pathologic reclassification while on AS have been identified, results are mixed for non-Hispanic Black (NHB) and Hispanic ethnicity. We aim to further explore how race and ethnicity may be affecting AS participation and outcomes in a primarily urban, diverse, and vulnerable population. Patients eligible for AS from 2005-2020 were reviewed. Demographics, race/ethnicity, prostate specific antigen (PSA), prostate volume, and pathologic characteristics were analyzed between patients enrolled in AS and those that underwent immediate therapy. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare biochemical recurrence (BCR) rates. Cox proportional hazards models were used to develop prediction models for clinical reclassification. A total of 471 men were eligible for AS. Of those, 188 (39.9%) enrolled in AS while 283 (60.1%) underwent immediate radical therapy. No significant differences were found in racial/ethnic composition between the AS and immediate treatment groups. In our AS cohort, 79 (42.0%) experienced clinical reclassification and underwent deferred treatment. BCR rates were similar between treatment groups. Race/ethnicity were not found to be predictors of clinical reclassification, while metrics at diagnostic biopsy such as elevated PSA, higher PSA density, and lower prostate volume increased reclassification odds. In our diverse population, NHB race and Hispanic ethnicity were not significant predictors of adverse reclassification while on AS. Our findings support utilizing other metrics taken at initial biopsy to identify high-risk patients such as PSA, prostate volume, and PSA density.

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Conflicts of interest None of the authors have relevant conflicts of interest, financial or otherwise, to declare.