Predicting the mortality of patients with cardiogenic shock after coronary artery bypass grafting.

cardiogenic shock coronary artery bypass grafting hospital mortality logistic modle risk assessment

Journal

Perfusion
ISSN: 1477-111X
Titre abrégé: Perfusion
Pays: England
ID NLM: 8700166

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
19 Mar 2023
Historique:
entrez: 20 3 2023
pubmed: 21 3 2023
medline: 21 3 2023
Statut: aheadofprint

Résumé

Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a critical condition and the leading cause of mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). To define the risk factors for CS in patients who undergo CABG and create a risk-predictive model is crucial. In this observational study, we retrospectively evaluated consecutive patients who underwent CABG between January 2018 and October 2022 at Beijing Anzhen Hospital. A total of 496 patients were enrolled and categorized into the training (396 cases) and internal test (100 cases) sets. The variables significantly associated with mortality ( The E/A ratio at admission, postoperative brain natriuretic peptide, postoperative arterial lactate, two or more arrhythmias at the same time after CABG, and carotid artery stenosis at admission were identified as independent prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality after multivariate logistic regression analysis. The CS after CABG score (ACCS) was established and three classes of ACCS, named classes I (ACCS, <20), II (ACCS, 20-30), and III (ACCS, >30), made up the risk model. The ACCS showed better discrimination with an AUROC of 0.937 (95% confidence interval, 0.982-0.892) and calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (X The ACCS score represents a risk-predictive model for in-hospital mortality of patients with CS after CABG in acute care settings. Patients identified as class III may have a worse prognosis.

Identifiants

pubmed: 36935559
doi: 10.1177/02676591231161275
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

2676591231161275

Auteurs

Xiaozheng Zhou (X)

Center for Cardiac Intensive, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, 12667Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Wen Tan (W)

Center for Cardiac Intensive, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, 12667Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Maomao Liu (M)

Center for Cardiac Intensive, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, 12667Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Nan Liu (N)

Center for Cardiac Intensive, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, 12667Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Classifications MeSH