Global estimates of pregnancies at risk of Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax infection in 2020 and changes in risk patterns since 2000.


Journal

PLOS global public health
ISSN: 2767-3375
Titre abrégé: PLOS Glob Public Health
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 9918283779606676

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
2022
Historique:
received: 12 04 2022
accepted: 03 10 2022
entrez: 24 3 2023
pubmed: 25 3 2023
medline: 25 3 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Women are at risk of severe adverse pregnancy outcomes attributable to Plasmodium spp. infection in malaria-endemic areas. Malaria control efforts since 2000 have aimed to reduce this burden of disease. We used data from the Malaria Atlas Project and WorldPop to calculate global pregnancies at-risk of Plasmodium spp. infection. We categorised pregnancies as occurring in areas of stable and unstable P. falciparum and P. vivax transmission. We further stratified stable endemicity as hypo-endemic, meso-endemic, hyper-endemic, or holo-endemic, and estimated pregnancies at risk in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2017, and 2020. In 2020, globally 120.4M pregnancies were at risk of P. falciparum, two-thirds (81.0M, 67.3%) were in areas of stable transmission; 85 2M pregnancies were at risk of P. vivax, 93.9% (80.0M) were in areas of stable transmission. An estimated 64.6M pregnancies were in areas with both P. falciparum and P. vivax transmission. The number of pregnancies at risk of each of P. falciparum and P. vivax worldwide decreased between 2000 and 2020, with the exception of sub-Saharan Africa, where the total number of pregnancies at risk of P. falciparum increased from 37 3M in 2000 to 52 4M in 2020. Historic investments in malaria control have reduced the number of women at risk of malaria in pregnancy in all endemic regions except sub-Saharan Africa. Population growth in Africa has outpaced reductions in malaria prevalence. Interventions that reduce the risk of malaria in pregnancy are needed as much today as ever.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Women are at risk of severe adverse pregnancy outcomes attributable to Plasmodium spp. infection in malaria-endemic areas. Malaria control efforts since 2000 have aimed to reduce this burden of disease.
METHODS METHODS
We used data from the Malaria Atlas Project and WorldPop to calculate global pregnancies at-risk of Plasmodium spp. infection. We categorised pregnancies as occurring in areas of stable and unstable P. falciparum and P. vivax transmission. We further stratified stable endemicity as hypo-endemic, meso-endemic, hyper-endemic, or holo-endemic, and estimated pregnancies at risk in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2017, and 2020.
FINDINGS RESULTS
In 2020, globally 120.4M pregnancies were at risk of P. falciparum, two-thirds (81.0M, 67.3%) were in areas of stable transmission; 85 2M pregnancies were at risk of P. vivax, 93.9% (80.0M) were in areas of stable transmission. An estimated 64.6M pregnancies were in areas with both P. falciparum and P. vivax transmission. The number of pregnancies at risk of each of P. falciparum and P. vivax worldwide decreased between 2000 and 2020, with the exception of sub-Saharan Africa, where the total number of pregnancies at risk of P. falciparum increased from 37 3M in 2000 to 52 4M in 2020.
INTERPRETATION CONCLUSIONS
Historic investments in malaria control have reduced the number of women at risk of malaria in pregnancy in all endemic regions except sub-Saharan Africa. Population growth in Africa has outpaced reductions in malaria prevalence. Interventions that reduce the risk of malaria in pregnancy are needed as much today as ever.

Identifiants

pubmed: 36962612
doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001061
pii: PGPH-D-22-00585
pmc: PMC10022219
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

e0001061

Subventions

Organisme : World Health Organization
ID : 001
Pays : International

Informations de copyright

Copyright: © 2022 Gore-Langton et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

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Auteurs

Georgia R Gore-Langton (GR)

Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Jorge Cano (J)

Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Expanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases, WHO Regional Office for Africa, Brazzaville, Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Hope Simpson (H)

Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Andrew Tatem (A)

WorldPop, Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.

Natalia Tejedor-Garavito (N)

WorldPop, Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.

Adelle Wigley (A)

WorldPop, Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.

Alessandra Carioli (A)

WorldPop, Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.

Peter Gething (P)

Malaria Atlas Project, Telethon Kids Institute, Perth Children's Hospital, Nedlands, Australia.
Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Bentley, Australia.

Daniel J Weiss (DJ)

Malaria Atlas Project, Telethon Kids Institute, Perth Children's Hospital, Nedlands, Australia.
Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Bentley, Australia.

Daniel Chandramohan (D)

Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Patrick G T Walker (PGT)

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.

Matthew E Cairns (ME)

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

R Matthew Chico (RM)

Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Classifications MeSH