Multi-region electricity demand prediction with ensemble deep neural networks.


Journal

PloS one
ISSN: 1932-6203
Titre abrégé: PLoS One
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101285081

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
2023
Historique:
received: 13 02 2023
accepted: 24 04 2023
medline: 22 5 2023
pubmed: 18 5 2023
entrez: 18 5 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Electricity consumption prediction plays a vital role in intelligent energy management systems, and it is essential for electricity power supply companies to have accurate short and long-term energy predictions. In this study, a deep-ensembled neural network was used to anticipate hourly power utilization, providing a clear and effective approach for predicting power consumption. The dataset comprises of 13 files, each representing a different region, and ranges from 2004 to 2018, with two columns for the date, time, year and energy expenditure. The data was normalized using minmax scalar, and a deep ensembled (long short-term memory and recurrent neural network) model was used for energy consumption prediction. This proposed model effectively trains long-term dependencies in sequence order and has been assessed using several statistical metrics, including root mean squared error (RMSE), relative root mean squared error (rRMSE), mean absolute bias error (MABE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean bias error (MBE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Results show that the proposed model performs exceptionally well compared to existing models, indicating its effectiveness in accurately predicting energy consumption.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37200368
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0285456
pii: PONE-D-23-03761
pmc: PMC10194882
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e0285456

Informations de copyright

Copyright: © 2023 Irfan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Références

Sensors (Basel). 2020 Mar 04;20(5):
pubmed: 32143371

Auteurs

Muhammad Irfan (M)

Electrical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Najran University, Najran, Saudi Arabia.

Ahmad Shaf (A)

Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Sahiwal Campus, Sahiwal, Pakistan.

Tariq Ali (T)

Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Sahiwal Campus, Sahiwal, Pakistan.

Mariam Zafar (M)

Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Sahiwal Campus, Sahiwal, Pakistan.

Saifur Rahman (S)

Electrical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Najran University, Najran, Saudi Arabia.

Salim Nasar Faraj Mursal (SNF)

Electrical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Najran University, Najran, Saudi Arabia.

Faisal AlThobiani (F)

Faculty of Maritime Studies, King Abdualziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Majid A Almas (M)

Faculty of Maritime Studies, King Abdualziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

H M Attar (HM)

Faculty of Maritime Studies, King Abdualziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Nagi Abdussamiee (N)

Centre for Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics, Australian Maritime College, University of Tasmania, Launceston, Tasmania, Australia.

Classifications MeSH