Incidence and risk factors of cardiovascular disease among population aged 40-70 years: a population-based cohort study in the South of Iran.
Cardiovascular diseases
Incidence
PERSIAN cohort–Cox regression
Risk factors
Journal
Tropical medicine and health
ISSN: 1348-8945
Titre abrégé: Trop Med Health
Pays: Japan
ID NLM: 101215093
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
12 Jun 2023
12 Jun 2023
Historique:
received:
12
01
2023
accepted:
04
06
2023
medline:
13
6
2023
pubmed:
13
6
2023
entrez:
12
6
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Cardiovascular diseases are the main cause of mortality in the world. This study aimed to estimate the incidence and identify the risk factors of these diseases. This prospective cohort study was performed on 9442 individuals aged 40-70 years in Kharameh, a city in the South of Iran, in 2015-2022. The subjects were followed up for 4 years. The demographic information, behavioral habits, biological parameters, and history of some diseases were examined. The density incidence of cardiovascular disease was calculated. The log-rank test was calculated to assess the cardiovascular incidence difference between men and women. Simple and multiple Cox regression with Firth's bias reduction method were used to identify the predictors of cardiovascular disease. The mean ± SD age of the participants was 51.4 ± 8.04 years, and the density incidence was estimated at 1.9 cases per 100,000 person-day. The log-rank test showed that men had a higher risk of cardiovascular disease than women. The Fisher's exact test showed a statistically significant difference between the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in different age groups, education levels, diabetes, and hypertension in men and women. The results of multiple Cox regression revealed that with increasing age, the risk of developing CVDs increased. In addition, the risk of cardiovascular disease is higher in people with kidney disease (HR In the present study, diabetes, hypertension, age, male gender, and alcohol consumption were identified as the risk factors for cardiovascular diseases; three variables of diabetes, hypertension and alcohol consumption were among the modifiable risk factors, so if they were removed, the incidence of cardiovascular disease could greatly reduce. Therefore, it is necessary to develop strategies for appropriate interventions to remove these risk factors.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
Cardiovascular diseases are the main cause of mortality in the world. This study aimed to estimate the incidence and identify the risk factors of these diseases.
METHODS
METHODS
This prospective cohort study was performed on 9442 individuals aged 40-70 years in Kharameh, a city in the South of Iran, in 2015-2022. The subjects were followed up for 4 years. The demographic information, behavioral habits, biological parameters, and history of some diseases were examined. The density incidence of cardiovascular disease was calculated. The log-rank test was calculated to assess the cardiovascular incidence difference between men and women. Simple and multiple Cox regression with Firth's bias reduction method were used to identify the predictors of cardiovascular disease.
RESULTS
RESULTS
The mean ± SD age of the participants was 51.4 ± 8.04 years, and the density incidence was estimated at 1.9 cases per 100,000 person-day. The log-rank test showed that men had a higher risk of cardiovascular disease than women. The Fisher's exact test showed a statistically significant difference between the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in different age groups, education levels, diabetes, and hypertension in men and women. The results of multiple Cox regression revealed that with increasing age, the risk of developing CVDs increased. In addition, the risk of cardiovascular disease is higher in people with kidney disease (HR
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
In the present study, diabetes, hypertension, age, male gender, and alcohol consumption were identified as the risk factors for cardiovascular diseases; three variables of diabetes, hypertension and alcohol consumption were among the modifiable risk factors, so if they were removed, the incidence of cardiovascular disease could greatly reduce. Therefore, it is necessary to develop strategies for appropriate interventions to remove these risk factors.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37308989
doi: 10.1186/s41182-023-00527-7
pii: 10.1186/s41182-023-00527-7
pmc: PMC10259014
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
35Informations de copyright
© 2023. The Author(s).
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