A machine-learning model that incorporates CD45 surface expression predicts hematopoietic progenitor cell recovery after freeze-thaw.
CD34
engraftment
hematopoietic progenitor cells
machine learning
predictive modeling
Journal
Cytotherapy
ISSN: 1477-2566
Titre abrégé: Cytotherapy
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100895309
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
10 2023
10 2023
Historique:
received:
18
01
2023
revised:
03
05
2023
accepted:
23
05
2023
medline:
23
10
2023
pubmed:
15
6
2023
entrez:
15
6
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Sufficient doses of viable CD34+ (vCD34) hematopoietic progenitor cells (HPCs) are crucial for engraftment. Additional-day apheresis collections can compensate for potential loss during cryopreservation but incur high cost and additional risk. To aid predicting such losses for clinical decision support, we developed a machine-learning model using variables obtainable on the day of collection. In total, 370 consecutive autologous HPCs, apheresis-collected since 2014 at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, were retrospectively reviewed. Flow cytometry was used to assess vCD34% on fresh products and thawed quality control vials. The ratio of vCD34% thawed to fresh, which we call "post-thaw index," was used as an outcome measure, with a "poor" post-thaw index defined as <70%. HPC CD45 normalized mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) was calculated by dividing CD45 MFI of HPCs to the CD45 MFI of lymphocytes in the same sample. We trained XGBoost, k-nearest neighbor and random forest models for the prediction and calibrated the best model to minimize falsely-reassuring predictions. In total, 63 of 370 (17%) products had a poor post-thaw index. The best model was XGBoost, with an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.83 evaluated on an independent test data set. The most important predictor for a poor post-thaw index was the HPC CD45 normalized MFI. Transplants after 2015, based on the lower of the two vCD34% values, showed faster engraftment than older transplants, which were based on fresh vCD34% only (average 10.6 vs 11.7 days, P = 0.0006). Transplants taking into account post-thaw vCD34% improved engraftment time in our patients; however, it came at the cost of unnecessary multi-day collections. The results from applying our predictive algorithm retrospectively to our data suggest that more than one-third of additional-day collections could have been avoided. Our investigation also identified CD45 nMFI as a novel marker for assessing HPC health post-thaw.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND AIMS
Sufficient doses of viable CD34+ (vCD34) hematopoietic progenitor cells (HPCs) are crucial for engraftment. Additional-day apheresis collections can compensate for potential loss during cryopreservation but incur high cost and additional risk. To aid predicting such losses for clinical decision support, we developed a machine-learning model using variables obtainable on the day of collection.
METHODS
In total, 370 consecutive autologous HPCs, apheresis-collected since 2014 at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, were retrospectively reviewed. Flow cytometry was used to assess vCD34% on fresh products and thawed quality control vials. The ratio of vCD34% thawed to fresh, which we call "post-thaw index," was used as an outcome measure, with a "poor" post-thaw index defined as <70%. HPC CD45 normalized mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) was calculated by dividing CD45 MFI of HPCs to the CD45 MFI of lymphocytes in the same sample. We trained XGBoost, k-nearest neighbor and random forest models for the prediction and calibrated the best model to minimize falsely-reassuring predictions.
RESULTS
In total, 63 of 370 (17%) products had a poor post-thaw index. The best model was XGBoost, with an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.83 evaluated on an independent test data set. The most important predictor for a poor post-thaw index was the HPC CD45 normalized MFI. Transplants after 2015, based on the lower of the two vCD34% values, showed faster engraftment than older transplants, which were based on fresh vCD34% only (average 10.6 vs 11.7 days, P = 0.0006).
CONCLUSIONS
Transplants taking into account post-thaw vCD34% improved engraftment time in our patients; however, it came at the cost of unnecessary multi-day collections. The results from applying our predictive algorithm retrospectively to our data suggest that more than one-third of additional-day collections could have been avoided. Our investigation also identified CD45 nMFI as a novel marker for assessing HPC health post-thaw.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37318396
pii: S1465-3249(23)00953-2
doi: 10.1016/j.jcyt.2023.05.007
pii:
doi:
Substances chimiques
Antigens, CD34
0
Leukocyte Common Antigens
EC 3.1.3.48
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1048-1056Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2023 International Society for Cell & Gene Therapy. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Declaration of Competing Interest The authors have no commercial, proprietary or financial interest in the products or companies described in this article.