Mean species responses predict effects of environmental change on coexistence.
climate change
community ecology
environmental ecology
environmental stressors
food chains
food webs
global change
pollution
Journal
Ecology letters
ISSN: 1461-0248
Titre abrégé: Ecol Lett
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101121949
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Sep 2023
Sep 2023
Historique:
revised:
21
05
2023
received:
16
01
2023
accepted:
23
05
2023
medline:
1
9
2023
pubmed:
20
6
2023
entrez:
20
6
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Environmental change research is plagued by the curse of dimensionality: the number of communities at risk and the number of environmental drivers are both large. This raises the pressing question if a general understanding of ecological effects is achievable. Here, we show evidence that this is indeed possible. Using theoretical and simulation-based evidence for bi- and tritrophic communities, we show that environmental change effects on coexistence are proportional to mean species responses and depend on how trophic levels on average interact prior to environmental change. We then benchmark our findings using relevant cases of environmental change, showing that means of temperature optima and of species sensitivities to pollution predict concomitant effects on coexistence. Finally, we demonstrate how to apply our theory to the analysis of field data, finding support for effects of land use change on coexistence in natural invertebrate communities.
Types de publication
Letter
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1535-1547Subventions
Organisme : FNRS-FRFC
ID : 2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U
Organisme : Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Offi
ID : NKFI-123796
Organisme : Université de Namur
ID : 2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U
Organisme : Université de Namur
ID : NARC fellowsh
Organisme : Waalse Gewest
ID : 2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U
Informations de copyright
© 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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