Heat over heritability: Increasing body size in response to global warming is not stabilized by genetic effects in Bechstein's bats.
Bayesian animal model
chiroptera
climate change
evolutionary potential
extinction risk
heritability
phenotypic plasticity
Journal
Global change biology
ISSN: 1365-2486
Titre abrégé: Glob Chang Biol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9888746
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Sep 2023
Sep 2023
Historique:
received:
21
10
2022
accepted:
17
05
2023
pubmed:
21
6
2023
medline:
21
6
2023
entrez:
21
6
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
How well populations can cope with global warming will often depend on the evolutionary potential and plasticity of their temperature-sensitive, fitness-relevant traits. In Bechstein's bats (Myotis bechsteinii), body size has increased over the last decades in response to warmer summers. If this trend continues it may threaten populations as larger females exhibit higher mortality. To assess the evolutionary potential of body size, we applied a Bayesian 'animal model' to estimate additive genetic variance, heritability and evolvability of body size, based on a 25-year pedigree of 332 wild females. Both heritability and additive genetic variance were reduced in hot summers compared to average and cold summers, while evolvability of body size was generally low. This suggests that the observed increase in body size was mostly driven by phenotypic plasticity. Thus, if warm summers continue to become more frequent, body size likely increases further and the resulting fitness loss could threaten populations.
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
4939-4948Subventions
Organisme : Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
ID : RTG 2010
Informations de copyright
© 2023 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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