A prognostic risk score for development and spread of chronic pain.
Journal
Nature medicine
ISSN: 1546-170X
Titre abrégé: Nat Med
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 9502015
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
07 2023
07 2023
Historique:
received:
16
08
2022
accepted:
31
05
2023
medline:
21
7
2023
pubmed:
7
7
2023
entrez:
6
7
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Chronic pain is a complex condition influenced by a combination of biological, psychological and social factors. Using data from the UK Biobank (n = 493,211), we showed that pain spreads from proximal to distal sites and developed a biopsychosocial model that predicted the number of coexisting pain sites. This data-driven model was used to identify a risk score that classified various chronic pain conditions (area under the curve (AUC) 0.70-0.88) and pain-related medical conditions (AUC 0.67-0.86). In longitudinal analyses, the risk score predicted the development of widespread chronic pain, the spreading of chronic pain across body sites and high-impact pain about 9 years later (AUC 0.68-0.78). Key risk factors included sleeplessness, feeling 'fed-up', tiredness, stressful life events and a body mass index >30. A simplified version of this score, named the risk of pain spreading, obtained similar predictive performance based on six simple questions with binarized answers. The risk of pain spreading was then validated in the Northern Finland Birth Cohort (n = 5,525) and the PREVENT-AD cohort (n = 178), obtaining comparable predictive performance. Our findings show that chronic pain conditions can be predicted from a common set of biopsychosocial factors, which can aid in tailoring research protocols, optimizing patient randomization in clinical trials and improving pain management.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37414898
doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02430-4
pii: 10.1038/s41591-023-02430-4
pmc: PMC10353938
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1821-1831Subventions
Organisme : NIDA NIH HHS
ID : U54 DA049110
Pays : United States
Investigateurs
John C S Breitner
(JCS)
Julien Menes
(J)
Judes Poirier
(J)
Jennifer Tremblay-Mercier
(J)
Commentaires et corrections
Type : CommentIn
Informations de copyright
© 2023. The Author(s).
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