Predicting the potential impacts of climate change on the endangered endemic annonaceae species in east africa.
Climate change
Conservation management
Ecological niche modeling
Threatened species
Journal
Heliyon
ISSN: 2405-8440
Titre abrégé: Heliyon
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101672560
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Jun 2023
Jun 2023
Historique:
received:
20
02
2023
revised:
15
06
2023
accepted:
15
06
2023
medline:
7
7
2023
pubmed:
7
7
2023
entrez:
7
7
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Globally, endemic species and natural habitats have been significantly impacted by climate change, and further considerable impacts are predicted. Therefore, understanding how endemic species are impacted by climate change can aid in advancing the necessary conservation initiatives. The use of niche modeling is becoming a popular topic in biological conservation to forecast changes in species distributions under various climate change scenarios. This study used the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator version 1 (ACCESS-CM2) general circulation model of coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) to model the current distribution of suitable habitat for the four threatened Annonaceae species endemic to East Africa (EA), to determine the impact of climate change on their suitable habitat in the years 2050 (average for 2041-2060) and 2070 (average for 2061-2080). Two shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) SSP370 and SSP585 were used to project the contraction and expansion of suitable habitats for
Identifiants
pubmed: 37416643
doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e17405
pii: S2405-8440(23)04613-3
pmc: PMC10320037
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
e17405Informations de copyright
© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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