New tuberculosis vaccines in India: modelling the potential health and economic impacts of adolescent/adult vaccination with M72/AS01


Journal

BMC medicine
ISSN: 1741-7015
Titre abrégé: BMC Med
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101190723

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
04 08 2023
Historique:
received: 24 02 2023
accepted: 20 07 2023
medline: 7 8 2023
pubmed: 5 8 2023
entrez: 4 8 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

India had an estimated 2.9 million tuberculosis cases and 506 thousand deaths in 2021. Novel vaccines effective in adolescents and adults could reduce this burden. M72/AS01 We developed an age-stratified compartmental tuberculosis transmission model for India calibrated to country-specific epidemiology. We projected baseline epidemiology to 2050 assuming no-new-vaccine introduction, and M72/AS01 M72/AS01 M72/AS01

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
India had an estimated 2.9 million tuberculosis cases and 506 thousand deaths in 2021. Novel vaccines effective in adolescents and adults could reduce this burden. M72/AS01
METHODS
We developed an age-stratified compartmental tuberculosis transmission model for India calibrated to country-specific epidemiology. We projected baseline epidemiology to 2050 assuming no-new-vaccine introduction, and M72/AS01
RESULTS
M72/AS01
CONCLUSIONS
M72/AS01

Identifiants

pubmed: 37542319
doi: 10.1186/s12916-023-02992-7
pii: 10.1186/s12916-023-02992-7
pmc: PMC10403932
doi:

Substances chimiques

Tuberculosis Vaccines 0
BCG Vaccine 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

288

Subventions

Organisme : World Health Organization
ID : 001
Pays : International
Organisme : Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
ID : INV-001754
Pays : United States

Commentaires et corrections

Type : UpdateOf

Informations de copyright

© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.

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Auteurs

Rebecca A Clark (RA)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. Rebecca.Clark@lshtm.ac.uk.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Rebecca.Clark@lshtm.ac.uk.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Rebecca.Clark@lshtm.ac.uk.
Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Rebecca.Clark@lshtm.ac.uk.

Chathika K Weerasuriya (CK)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Allison Portnoy (A)

Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA.
Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA.

Christinah Mukandavire (C)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Matthew Quaife (M)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Roel Bakker (R)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
KNCV Tuberculosis Foundation, The Hague, Netherlands.

Danny Scarponi (D)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Rebecca C Harris (RC)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sanofi Pasteur, Singapore, Singapore.

Kirankumar Rade (K)

World Health Organization, New Delhi, India.

Sanjay Kumar Mattoo (SK)

Central TB Division, NTEP, MoHFW Govt of India, New Delhi, India.

Dheeraj Tumu (D)

World Health Organization, New Delhi, India.
Central TB Division, NTEP, MoHFW Govt of India, New Delhi, India.

Nicolas A Menzies (NA)

Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA.
Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA.

Richard G White (RG)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

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