Impact of data source choice on multimorbidity measurement: a comparison study of 2.3 million individuals in the Welsh National Health Service.


Journal

BMC medicine
ISSN: 1741-7015
Titre abrégé: BMC Med
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101190723

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
15 08 2023
Historique:
received: 11 04 2023
accepted: 03 07 2023
medline: 17 8 2023
pubmed: 16 8 2023
entrez: 15 8 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Measurement of multimorbidity in research is variable, including the choice of the data source used to ascertain conditions. We compared the estimated prevalence of multimorbidity and associations with mortality using different data sources. A cross-sectional study of SAIL Databank data including 2,340,027 individuals of all ages living in Wales on 01 January 2019. Comparison of prevalence of multimorbidity and constituent 47 conditions using data from primary care (PC), hospital inpatient (HI), and linked PC-HI data sources and examination of associations between condition count and 12-month mortality. Using linked PC-HI compared with only HI data, multimorbidity was more prevalent (32.2% versus 16.5%), and the population of people identified as having multimorbidity was younger (mean age 62.5 versus 66.8 years) and included more women (54.2% versus 52.6%). Individuals with multimorbidity in both PC and HI data had stronger associations with mortality than those with multimorbidity only in HI data (adjusted odds ratio 8.34 [95% CI 8.02-8.68] versus 6.95 (95%CI 6.79-7.12] in people with ≥ 4 conditions). The prevalence of conditions identified using only PC versus only HI data was significantly higher for 37/47 and significantly lower for 10/47: the highest PC/HI ratio was for depression (14.2 [95% CI 14.1-14.4]) and the lowest for aneurysm (0.51 [95% CI 0.5-0.5]). Agreement in ascertainment of conditions between the two data sources varied considerably, being slight for five (kappa < 0.20), fair for 12 (kappa 0.21-0.40), moderate for 16 (kappa 0.41-0.60), and substantial for 12 (kappa 0.61-0.80) conditions, and by body system was lowest for mental and behavioural disorders. The percentage agreement, individuals with a condition identified in both PC and HI data, was lowest in anxiety (4.6%) and highest in coronary artery disease (62.9%). The use of single data sources may underestimate prevalence when measuring multimorbidity and many important conditions (especially mental and behavioural disorders). Caution should be used when interpreting findings of research examining individual and multiple long-term conditions using single data sources. Where available, researchers using electronic health data should link primary care and hospital inpatient data to generate more robust evidence to support evidence-based healthcare planning decisions for people with multimorbidity.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Measurement of multimorbidity in research is variable, including the choice of the data source used to ascertain conditions. We compared the estimated prevalence of multimorbidity and associations with mortality using different data sources.
METHODS
A cross-sectional study of SAIL Databank data including 2,340,027 individuals of all ages living in Wales on 01 January 2019. Comparison of prevalence of multimorbidity and constituent 47 conditions using data from primary care (PC), hospital inpatient (HI), and linked PC-HI data sources and examination of associations between condition count and 12-month mortality.
RESULTS
Using linked PC-HI compared with only HI data, multimorbidity was more prevalent (32.2% versus 16.5%), and the population of people identified as having multimorbidity was younger (mean age 62.5 versus 66.8 years) and included more women (54.2% versus 52.6%). Individuals with multimorbidity in both PC and HI data had stronger associations with mortality than those with multimorbidity only in HI data (adjusted odds ratio 8.34 [95% CI 8.02-8.68] versus 6.95 (95%CI 6.79-7.12] in people with ≥ 4 conditions). The prevalence of conditions identified using only PC versus only HI data was significantly higher for 37/47 and significantly lower for 10/47: the highest PC/HI ratio was for depression (14.2 [95% CI 14.1-14.4]) and the lowest for aneurysm (0.51 [95% CI 0.5-0.5]). Agreement in ascertainment of conditions between the two data sources varied considerably, being slight for five (kappa < 0.20), fair for 12 (kappa 0.21-0.40), moderate for 16 (kappa 0.41-0.60), and substantial for 12 (kappa 0.61-0.80) conditions, and by body system was lowest for mental and behavioural disorders. The percentage agreement, individuals with a condition identified in both PC and HI data, was lowest in anxiety (4.6%) and highest in coronary artery disease (62.9%).
CONCLUSIONS
The use of single data sources may underestimate prevalence when measuring multimorbidity and many important conditions (especially mental and behavioural disorders). Caution should be used when interpreting findings of research examining individual and multiple long-term conditions using single data sources. Where available, researchers using electronic health data should link primary care and hospital inpatient data to generate more robust evidence to support evidence-based healthcare planning decisions for people with multimorbidity.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37582755
doi: 10.1186/s12916-023-02970-z
pii: 10.1186/s12916-023-02970-z
pmc: PMC10426056
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

309

Subventions

Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MR/W000253/1
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Department of Health
ID : NIHR202639
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.

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Auteurs

Clare MacRae (C)

Advanced Care Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Bio Cube 1, Edinburgh BioQuarter, 13 Little France Road, Edinburgh, UK. clare.macrae@ed.ac.uk.
Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. clare.macrae@ed.ac.uk.

Daniel Morales (D)

Division of Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.
Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.

Stewart W Mercer (SW)

Advanced Care Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Bio Cube 1, Edinburgh BioQuarter, 13 Little France Road, Edinburgh, UK.
Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Nazir Lone (N)

Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Andrew Lawson (A)

Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, USA.

Emily Jefferson (E)

Division of Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.

David McAllister (D)

Public Health, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 9LX, UK.

Marjan van den Akker (M)

Institute of General Practice, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt Am Main, Germany.
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Academic Center for General Practice, KU Leuven, Louvain, Belgium.
Department of Family Medicine, School CAPHRI, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

Alan Marshall (A)

School of Social and Political Science, University of Edinburgh, Chrystal Macmillan Building, Edinburgh, EH8 9LD, UK.

Sohan Seth (S)

School of Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Anna Rawlings (A)

Swansea University Medical School, Data Science Building, Singleton Campus, Swansea, UK.

Jane Lyons (J)

Swansea University Medical School, Data Science Building, Singleton Campus, Swansea, UK.

Ronan A Lyons (RA)

Swansea University Medical School, Data Science Building, Singleton Campus, Swansea, UK.

Amy Mizen (A)

Swansea University Medical School, Data Science Building, Singleton Campus, Swansea, UK.

Eleojo Abubakar (E)

Public Health, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 9LX, UK.

Chris Dibben (C)

University of Edinburgh Institute of Geography, Institute of Geography Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Bruce Guthrie (B)

Advanced Care Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Bio Cube 1, Edinburgh BioQuarter, 13 Little France Road, Edinburgh, UK.
Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

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