Mining the contribution of intensive care clinical course to outcome after traumatic brain injury.


Journal

NPJ digital medicine
ISSN: 2398-6352
Titre abrégé: NPJ Digit Med
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101731738

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
21 Aug 2023
Historique:
received: 09 03 2023
accepted: 01 08 2023
medline: 22 8 2023
pubmed: 22 8 2023
entrez: 21 8 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Existing methods to characterise the evolving condition of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) do not capture the context necessary for individualising treatment. Here, we integrate all heterogenous data stored in medical records (1166 pre-ICU and ICU variables) to model the individualised contribution of clinical course to 6-month functional outcome on the Glasgow Outcome Scale -Extended (GOSE). On a prospective cohort (n = 1550, 65 centres) of TBI patients, we train recurrent neural network models to map a token-embedded time series representation of all variables (including missing values) to an ordinal GOSE prognosis every 2 h. The full range of variables explains up to 52% (95% CI: 50-54%) of the ordinal variance in functional outcome. Up to 91% (95% CI: 90-91%) of this explanation is derived from pre-ICU and admission information (i.e., static variables). Information collected in the ICU (i.e., dynamic variables) increases explanation (by up to 5% [95% CI: 4-6%]), though not enough to counter poorer overall performance in longer-stay (>5.75 days) patients. Highest-contributing variables include physician-based prognoses, CT features, and markers of neurological function. Whilst static information currently accounts for the majority of functional outcome explanation after TBI, data-driven analysis highlights investigative avenues to improve the dynamic characterisation of longer-stay patients. Moreover, our modelling strategy proves useful for converting large patient records into interpretable time series with missing data integration and minimal processing.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37604980
doi: 10.1038/s41746-023-00895-8
pii: 10.1038/s41746-023-00895-8
pmc: PMC10442346
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

154

Subventions

Organisme : EC | EC Seventh Framework Programm | FP7 Health (FP7-HEALTH - Specific Programme "Cooperation": Health)
ID : 602150

Informations de copyright

© 2023. Springer Nature Limited.

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Auteurs

Shubhayu Bhattacharyay (S)

Division of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. sb2406@cam.ac.uk.
Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. sb2406@cam.ac.uk.
Laboratory of Computational Intensive Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA. sb2406@cam.ac.uk.

Pier Francesco Caruso (PF)

Division of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Via Rita Levi Montalcini 4, Pieve Emanuele, Milan, 20072, Italy.

Cecilia Åkerlund (C)

Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Section for Perioperative Medicine and Intensive Care, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Lindsay Wilson (L)

Division of Psychology, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK.

Robert D Stevens (RD)

Laboratory of Computational Intensive Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.

David K Menon (DK)

Division of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.

Ewout W Steyerberg (EW)

Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.

David W Nelson (DW)

Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Section for Perioperative Medicine and Intensive Care, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Ari Ercole (A)

Division of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Cambridge Centre for Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Cambridge, UK.

Classifications MeSH