Quantitative risk assessment of African swine fever introduction into Spain by legal import of swine products.
African swine fever
Import risk assessment
Introduction
Spain
Swine product
Journal
Research in veterinary science
ISSN: 1532-2661
Titre abrégé: Res Vet Sci
Pays: England
ID NLM: 0401300
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Oct 2023
Oct 2023
Historique:
received:
20
04
2023
revised:
21
08
2023
accepted:
22
08
2023
medline:
11
9
2023
pubmed:
29
8
2023
entrez:
28
8
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
African swine fever (ASF) is currently threatening the global swine industry. Its unstoppable global spread poses a serious risk to Spain, one of the world's leading producers. Over the past years, there has been an increased global burden of ASF not only in swine but also swine products. Unfortunately, many pigs are not diagnosed before slaughter and their products are used for human consumption. These ASF-contaminated products are only a source for new ASF outbreaks when they are consumed by domestic pigs or wild boar, which may happen either by swill feeding or landfill access. This study presents a quantitative stochastic risk assessment model for the introduction of ASF into Spain via the legal import of swine products, specifically pork and pork products. Entry assessment, exposure assessment, consequence assessment and risk estimation were carried out. The results suggest an annual probability of ASF introduction into Spain of 1.74 × 10
Identifiants
pubmed: 37639803
pii: S0034-5288(23)00241-2
doi: 10.1016/j.rvsc.2023.104990
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
104990Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare no conflict of interest.