The effect of population density on outcomes of major trauma patients in Ireland.

Advanced trauma life support care Population density Survival rate Trauma centres Trauma or major trauma Wounds and injuries

Journal

The surgeon : journal of the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of Edinburgh and Ireland
ISSN: 1479-666X
Titre abrégé: Surgeon
Pays: Scotland
ID NLM: 101168329

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Dec 2023
Historique:
received: 26 02 2023
revised: 25 07 2023
accepted: 15 08 2023
medline: 4 12 2023
pubmed: 1 9 2023
entrez: 31 8 2023
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Time-sensitive emergencies in areas of low population density have statistically poorer outcomes. This includes incidents of major trauma. This study assesses the effect that population density at a receiving hospital of a major trauma patient has on survival. Patients meeting Trauma Audit Research Network criteria for major trauma from 2016 to 2020 in Ireland were included in this retrospective observational study. Incident data were retrieved from the Major Trauma Audit, while data on population density were calculated from Irish state sources. The primary outcome measure of survival to discharge was compared to population density using logistic regression, adjusted for demographic and incident variables. Records were divided into population density tertiles to assess for between-group differences in potential predictor variables. Population density at a receiving hospital had no impact on mortality in Irish major trauma patients from our logistic regression model (OR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.98-1.05, p = 0.53). Factors that did have an impact were age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Injury Severity Score, and the presence of an Orthopaedic Surgery service at the receiving hospital (all p < 0.001). Age and Charlson Comorbidity Index differed slightly by population density tertile; both were higher in areas of high population density (all p < 0.001). Survival to discharge in Irish major trauma patients does not differ substantially based on population density. This is an important finding as Ireland moves to a new trauma system, with features based on population distribution. An Orthopaedic Surgery service is an important feature of a major trauma receiving hospital and its presence improves outcomes.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Time-sensitive emergencies in areas of low population density have statistically poorer outcomes. This includes incidents of major trauma. This study assesses the effect that population density at a receiving hospital of a major trauma patient has on survival.
METHODS METHODS
Patients meeting Trauma Audit Research Network criteria for major trauma from 2016 to 2020 in Ireland were included in this retrospective observational study. Incident data were retrieved from the Major Trauma Audit, while data on population density were calculated from Irish state sources. The primary outcome measure of survival to discharge was compared to population density using logistic regression, adjusted for demographic and incident variables. Records were divided into population density tertiles to assess for between-group differences in potential predictor variables.
RESULTS RESULTS
Population density at a receiving hospital had no impact on mortality in Irish major trauma patients from our logistic regression model (OR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.98-1.05, p = 0.53). Factors that did have an impact were age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Injury Severity Score, and the presence of an Orthopaedic Surgery service at the receiving hospital (all p < 0.001). Age and Charlson Comorbidity Index differed slightly by population density tertile; both were higher in areas of high population density (all p < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
Survival to discharge in Irish major trauma patients does not differ substantially based on population density. This is an important finding as Ireland moves to a new trauma system, with features based on population distribution. An Orthopaedic Surgery service is an important feature of a major trauma receiving hospital and its presence improves outcomes.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37652802
pii: S1479-666X(23)00089-6
doi: 10.1016/j.surge.2023.08.003
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Observational Study Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

397-404

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Auteurs

Cathal O'Reilly (C)

University of Galway, Ireland. Electronic address: cathal.oreilly@umail.ucc.ie.

Sean Gordon (S)

University College Dublin, Ireland. Electronic address: 116383006@umail.ucc.ie.

Andrew J Simpkin (AJ)

University of Galway, Ireland; School of Mathematics, Statistics and Applied Mathematics, University of Galway, Ireland. Electronic address: andrew.simpkin@nuigalway.ie.

Sandra Hembrecht (S)

Royal College of Surgeons, Ireland (RCSI), Ireland. Electronic address: Sandrahembrecht@rcsi.ie.

Micheál Ó Móráin (M)

University of Galway, Ireland. Electronic address: micheal.omorain@hse.ie.

Kevin Barry (K)

University of Galway, Ireland; Royal College of Surgeons, Ireland (RCSI), Ireland; Director of National Surgical Training Programs, RCSI, Ireland. Electronic address: kevinbarry@rcsi.ie.

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Classifications MeSH