Dynamical modelling of viral infection and cooperative immune protection in COVID-19 patients.


Journal

PLoS computational biology
ISSN: 1553-7358
Titre abrégé: PLoS Comput Biol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101238922

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
09 2023
Historique:
received: 18 01 2023
accepted: 24 07 2023
revised: 14 09 2023
medline: 18 9 2023
pubmed: 1 9 2023
entrez: 1 9 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Once challenged by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the human host immune system triggers a dynamic process against infection. We constructed a mathematical model to describe host innate and adaptive immune response to viral challenge. Based on the dynamic properties of viral load and immune response, we classified the resulting dynamics into four modes, reflecting increasing severity of COVID-19 disease. We found the numerical product of immune system's ability to clear the virus and to kill the infected cells, namely immune efficacy, to be predictive of disease severity. We also investigated vaccine-induced protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results suggested that immune efficacy based on memory T cells and neutralizing antibody titers could be used to predict population vaccine protection rates. Finally, we analyzed infection dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants within the construct of our mathematical model. Overall, our results provide a systematic framework for understanding the dynamics of host response upon challenge by SARS-CoV-2 infection, and this framework can be used to predict vaccine protection and perform clinical diagnosis.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37656752
doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011383
pii: PCOMPBIOL-D-23-00084
pmc: PMC10501599
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e1011383

Informations de copyright

Copyright: © 2023 Zhou et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

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Auteurs

Zhengqing Zhou (Z)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Dianjie Li (D)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Ziheng Zhao (Z)

Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Shuyu Shi (S)

Peking University Third Hospital, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Jianghua Wu (J)

Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Jianwei Li (J)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Jingpeng Zhang (J)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Ke Gui (K)

Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Yu Zhang (Y)

Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Qi Ouyang (Q)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Heng Mei (H)

Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Yu Hu (Y)

Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Fangting Li (F)

School of Physics, Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, China.

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