Wastewater-based Epidemiology and SARS-CoV-2: Variant Trends in the Apulia Region (Southern Italy) and Effect of Some Environmental Parameters.
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Sewage
Wastewater
Wastewater surveillance
Wastewater-based epidemiology
Journal
Food and environmental virology
ISSN: 1867-0342
Titre abrégé: Food Environ Virol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101483831
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Dec 2023
Dec 2023
Historique:
received:
10
07
2023
accepted:
23
08
2023
medline:
17
11
2023
pubmed:
22
9
2023
entrez:
22
9
2023
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
During the COVID-19 pandemic, wastewater monitoring has been used to monitor the levels of SARS-CoV-2 RNA entering the sewerage system. In Italy, the Istituto Superiore di Sanità coordinated the SARI project (Sorveglianza Ambientale Reflue in Italia) to detect SARS-CoV-2 and its variants. In this study, the concentration of SARS-CoV-2 and its variants in raw wastewater against COVID-19 cases was evaluated together with the effect of temperature and precipitation on virus spread. We validated a predictive model, proposed by De Giglio et al., 2021, to establish the number of COVID-19 cases/100,000 inhabitants. A receiver operating characteristic curve model was applied to predict the number of COVID-19 cases and Poisson regression was applied to study the effect of temperature and rainfall on viral load. In Apulia, from October 2021 to December 2022, we analyzed 1041 samples, of which 985 (94.6%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Median atmospheric temperature was inversely proportional to viral load in wastewater; no correlation was found with precipitation. The predictive model confirmed that at least 11 cases/100,000 inhabitants would occur in the 15 days following the detection of the virus in wastewater. Environmental surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 can be used to map the virus and its variants.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37735299
doi: 10.1007/s12560-023-09565-0
pii: 10.1007/s12560-023-09565-0
pmc: PMC10654208
doi:
Substances chimiques
RNA, Viral
0
Wastewater
0
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
331-341Informations de copyright
© 2023. The Author(s).
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