Epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal analysis of brucellosis in Shandong province, 2015-2021.
Brucellosis
Epidemiological characteristics
Spatial autocorrelation
Spatio-temporal cluster analysis
Journal
BMC infectious diseases
ISSN: 1471-2334
Titre abrégé: BMC Infect Dis
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100968551
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
09 Oct 2023
09 Oct 2023
Historique:
received:
19
09
2022
accepted:
31
07
2023
medline:
2
11
2023
pubmed:
10
10
2023
entrez:
9
10
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Brucellosis is one of the major public health problems in China, it not only causes huge economic losses to the society, but also threatens the human's physical and mental health. The reported cases of brucellosis in Shandong province were at a high level, therefore, it is necessary for us to understand the epidemic characteristics and distribution trend of Brucellosis in Shandong province. This study aims to describe the epidemiological characteristics and spatial clustering characteristics of brucellosis in Shandong Province, provide a reference for the scientific prevention and control. Human brucellosis data in Shandong province from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, the data were analyzed by descriptive epidemiological methods, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial-temporal cluster analysis methods use ArcGIS and SaTScan software, the results were presented in ArcMap. A total of 22,251 human cases of brucellosis were reported, the annual incidence ranged between 2.41/100,000 and 4.07/100,000 from 2015 to 2021 in Shandong province, incidence has been decreasing year by year, while there was a significant increase in 2021. The distribution of brucellosis was of a seasonal trend, mainly concentrating during March to August. The age of the cases was mainly concentrated in the 30-74 age ranges, the average annual incidence rate was significantly higher in males than in females. The spatial analysis showed that the epidemics were mainly concentrated in the north and southwest. For the spatial autocorrelation analysis, a high global autocorrelation was observed at the county level, and the high-high clusters mainly distributed in the north and southwest region. For the spatio-temporal scanning, the most likely cluster areas mainly distributed in the north area, and then gradually moved southward, and the radius of clustered narrowed. Human brucellosis remains a common challenge, particularly in northern region in spring and summer. More disease prevention and control measures should be taken in high-risk populations, and such higher-risk susceptible areas to reduce the incidence of brucellosis and ensure the health of the people.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
Brucellosis is one of the major public health problems in China, it not only causes huge economic losses to the society, but also threatens the human's physical and mental health. The reported cases of brucellosis in Shandong province were at a high level, therefore, it is necessary for us to understand the epidemic characteristics and distribution trend of Brucellosis in Shandong province. This study aims to describe the epidemiological characteristics and spatial clustering characteristics of brucellosis in Shandong Province, provide a reference for the scientific prevention and control.
METHODS
METHODS
Human brucellosis data in Shandong province from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, the data were analyzed by descriptive epidemiological methods, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial-temporal cluster analysis methods use ArcGIS and SaTScan software, the results were presented in ArcMap.
RESULTS
RESULTS
A total of 22,251 human cases of brucellosis were reported, the annual incidence ranged between 2.41/100,000 and 4.07/100,000 from 2015 to 2021 in Shandong province, incidence has been decreasing year by year, while there was a significant increase in 2021. The distribution of brucellosis was of a seasonal trend, mainly concentrating during March to August. The age of the cases was mainly concentrated in the 30-74 age ranges, the average annual incidence rate was significantly higher in males than in females. The spatial analysis showed that the epidemics were mainly concentrated in the north and southwest. For the spatial autocorrelation analysis, a high global autocorrelation was observed at the county level, and the high-high clusters mainly distributed in the north and southwest region. For the spatio-temporal scanning, the most likely cluster areas mainly distributed in the north area, and then gradually moved southward, and the radius of clustered narrowed.
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
Human brucellosis remains a common challenge, particularly in northern region in spring and summer. More disease prevention and control measures should be taken in high-risk populations, and such higher-risk susceptible areas to reduce the incidence of brucellosis and ensure the health of the people.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37814221
doi: 10.1186/s12879-023-08503-6
pii: 10.1186/s12879-023-08503-6
pmc: PMC10561485
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
669Subventions
Organisme : National Science and Technology Major Project
ID : No.2018ZX10714002
Organisme : National Science and Technology Major Project
ID : No.2018ZX10714002
Organisme : National Science and Technology Major Project
ID : No.2018ZX10714002
Organisme : National Science and Technology Major Project
ID : No.2018ZX10714002
Organisme : Shandong Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Project
ID : No.2021Q001
Organisme : Shandong Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Project
ID : No.2021Q001
Organisme : Shandong Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Project
ID : No.2021Q001
Organisme : Shandong Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Project
ID : No.2021Q001
Informations de copyright
© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.
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