Asthma incidence can be influenced by climate change in Italy: findings from the GEIRD study-a climatological and epidemiological assessment.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
03 11 2023
03 11 2023
Historique:
received:
10
08
2023
accepted:
31
10
2023
medline:
6
11
2023
pubmed:
4
11
2023
entrez:
4
11
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
An association between climatic conditions and asthma incidence has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether climatic variations have a fingerprint on asthma dynamics over long time intervals. The aim of this study is to detect a possible correlation of the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (S-NAO) index and the self-calibrated palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) with asthma incidence over the period from 1957 to 2006 in Italy. To this aim, an analysis of non-stationary and non-linear signals was performed on the time series of the Italian databases on respiratory health (ISAYA and GEIRD) including 36,255 individuals overall, S-NAO, and scPDSI indices to search for characteristic periodicities. The ISAYA (Italian Study on Asthma in Young Adults) and GEIRD (Gene Environment Interactions in Respiratory Diseases) studies collected information on respiratory health in general population samples, born between 1925 and 1989 and aged 20-84 years at the time of the interview, from 13 Italian centres. We found that annual asthma total incidence shared the same periodicity throughout the 1957-2006 time interval. Asthma incidence turned out to be correlated with the dynamics of the scPDSI, modulated by the S-NAO, sharing the same averaged 6 year-periodicity. Since climate patterns appear to influence asthma incidence, future studies aimed at elucidating the complex relationships between climate and asthma incidence are warranted.
Identifiants
pubmed: 37923929
doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-46423-2
pii: 10.1038/s41598-023-46423-2
pmc: PMC10624678
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
19047Informations de copyright
© 2023. The Author(s).
Références
Clin Exp Allergy. 2011 Aug;41(8):1059-71
pubmed: 21623970
Lancet. 2015 Jul 25;386(9991):369-75
pubmed: 26003380
J Hydrol Reg Stud. 2019 Apr;22:100593
pubmed: 32257820
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 Sep 18;104(38):14889-94
pubmed: 17846430
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Nov 15;113(46):12899-12901
pubmed: 27810955
Eur Respir J. 2007 Jan;29(1):179-84
pubmed: 17197483
Lancet Respir Med. 2017 Sep;5(9):691-706
pubmed: 28822787
Curr Opin Pediatr. 2023 Jun 1;35(3):356-361
pubmed: 36917187
Respir Med. 2019 Oct - Nov;158:33-41
pubmed: 31585374
Science. 1995 Aug 4;269(5224):676-9
pubmed: 17758812
BMJ Open. 2016 Aug 03;6(8):e011786
pubmed: 27489155
J Thorac Dis. 2018 Aug;10(8):5170-5177
pubmed: 30233894
Clin Exp Allergy. 2002 Oct;32(10):1405-12
pubmed: 12372117
Sci Rep. 2019 Aug 12;9(1):11683
pubmed: 31406172
J Geophys Res Atmos. 2016 Mar 16;121(5):2060-2074
pubmed: 29780676
Respir Med. 2016 Jan;110:58-65
pubmed: 26614595
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 21;17(14):
pubmed: 32708146
Sci Rep. 2015 Sep 28;5:14473
pubmed: 26412506
Immunol Allergy Clin North Am. 2021 Feb;41(1):73-84
pubmed: 33228874
Heart Lung. 2019 May - Jun;48(3):250-257
pubmed: 30686617
PLoS One. 2015 Oct 06;10(10):e0138570
pubmed: 26439263
Eur Respir J. 2022 Sep 15;60(3):
pubmed: 35210321
Lancet. 2018 Feb 10;391(10120):581-630
pubmed: 29096948
Sci Total Environ. 2017 Apr 15;584-585:1093-1099
pubmed: 28169023
Eur Respir J. 2022 Sep 15;60(3):
pubmed: 35144987
Multidiscip Respir Med. 2015 Dec 22;10:39
pubmed: 26697186
Front Pediatr. 2018 Jun 22;6:186
pubmed: 29988370
JAMA. 1990 Oct 3;264(13):1683-7
pubmed: 2398607
Int Arch Allergy Immunol. 2016;170(3):149-57
pubmed: 27532893
Sci Rep. 2014 Dec 02;4:7211
pubmed: 25448867
Chest. 2013 May;143(5):1455-1459
pubmed: 23648909
Eur Respir Rev. 2014 Jun;23(132):161-9
pubmed: 24881071
Int Arch Allergy Immunol. 2010;152(3):255-63
pubmed: 20150743
N Engl Reg Allergy Proc. 1986 Sep-Oct;7(5):462-6
pubmed: 3332301
Allergol Immunopathol (Madr). 2021 Jul 01;49(4):187-194
pubmed: 34224235
Chest. 1986 Nov;90(5 Suppl):62S-66S
pubmed: 2876849