The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy in the USA: An application of hybrid life expectancy.

COVID-19 pandemic hybrid life expectancy life expectancy pandemic duration

Journal

Biology methods & protocols
ISSN: 2396-8923
Titre abrégé: Biol Methods Protoc
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101693064

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
2023
Historique:
received: 21 08 2023
revised: 07 10 2023
accepted: 17 10 2023
medline: 6 11 2023
pubmed: 6 11 2023
entrez: 6 11 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Pandemics are, by definition, temporary intervals of substantially increased mortality rates experienced across a wide geographic area. One way of assessing the magnitude of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA has been to compute the differences in life expectancy at birth during a pandemic year and the year before the pandemic. Such comparisons are misleading because they do not account for the duration of the pandemic. The computation of life expectancy in 2019 assumes that people spend their entire lives experiencing prepandemic mortality rates. The computation of life expectancy in 2021 assumes that people live their entire lives in a permanent pandemic. However, people do not live their entire lives experiencing the elevated mortality rates of 2021. This article introduces a method for calculating life expectancy that reflects the experience of people enduring pandemic-level mortality rates for fixed durations. We call the new quantity

Identifiants

pubmed: 37929068
doi: 10.1093/biomethods/bpad025
pii: bpad025
pmc: PMC10621591
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

bpad025

Informations de copyright

© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press.

Références

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Sep 8;117(36):22035-22041
pubmed: 32820077
JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Apr 1;5(4):e227067
pubmed: 35416991
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Feb 2;118(5):
pubmed: 33446511
Lancet Healthy Longev. 2022 Dec;3(12):e849-e854
pubmed: 36480981
Lancet Respir Med. 2022 Mar;10(3):e30
pubmed: 35065716

Auteurs

Warren C Sanderson (WC)

Department of Economics, Stony Brook University; Stony Brook, NY 11794, United States.
Center of Demographic Research, Baruch College, New York, NY 10010, United States.
Population and Just Societies Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg A-2361, Austria.

Sergei Scherbov (S)

Population and Just Societies Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg A-2361, Austria.
College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand.

Classifications MeSH