Evaluation of pragmatic oxygenation measurement as a proxy for Covid-19 severity.


Journal

Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
15 11 2023
Historique:
received: 23 05 2023
accepted: 04 10 2023
medline: 17 11 2023
pubmed: 16 11 2023
entrez: 15 11 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Choosing optimal outcome measures maximizes statistical power, accelerates discovery and improves reliability in early-phase trials. We devised and evaluated a modification to a pragmatic measure of oxygenation function, the [Formula: see text] ratio. Because of the ceiling effect in oxyhaemoglobin saturation, [Formula: see text] ratio ceases to reflect pulmonary oxygenation function at high [Formula: see text] values. We found that the correlation of [Formula: see text] with the reference standard ([Formula: see text]/[Formula: see text] ratio) improves substantially when excluding [Formula: see text] and refer to this measure as [Formula: see text]. Using observational data from 39,765 hospitalised COVID-19 patients, we demonstrate that [Formula: see text] is predictive of mortality, and compare the sample sizes required for trials using four different outcome measures. We show that a significant difference in outcome could be detected with the smallest sample size using [Formula: see text]. We demonstrate that [Formula: see text] is an effective intermediate outcome measure in COVID-19. It is a non-invasive measurement, representative of disease severity and provides greater statistical power.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37968269
doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-42205-6
pii: 10.1038/s41467-023-42205-6
pmc: PMC10651917
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

7374

Subventions

Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MC_PC_19025
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

© 2023. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Maaike C Swets (MC)

Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.

Steven Kerr (S)

Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

James Scott-Brown (J)

School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Adam B Brown (AB)

Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Rishi Gupta (R)

Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.

Jonathan E Millar (JE)

Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Enti Spata (E)

Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), Oxford, UK.

Fiona McCurrach (F)

EMERGE, NHS Lothian, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Andrew D Bretherick (AD)

MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.

Annemarie Docherty (A)

Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

David Harrison (D)

Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre, London, UK.

Kathy Rowan (K)

Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre, London, UK.

Neil Young (N)

Department of Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Geert H Groeneveld (GH)

Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.

Jake Dunning (J)

Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam (JS)

Population and Lifespan Health, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK.

Peter Openshaw (P)

National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.

Peter W Horby (PW)

Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Ewen Harrison (E)

Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Natalie Staplin (N)

Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), Oxford, UK.

Malcolm G Semple (MG)

Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, UK.

Nazir Lone (N)

Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, UK.

J Kenneth Baillie (JK)

Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.
Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.
Baillie Gifford Pandemic Science Hub, Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.
MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute for Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.

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