A Real-World Analysis of New-Onset Heart Failure After Anterior Wall ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction in the United States.

The 1-year incidence of heart failure (HF) after anterior wall ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains difficult to determine because of inconsistencies in reporting, definitions, and adjudication. The objective of this study was to evaluate the 1-year incidence of HF after anterior wall STEMI in a real-world data set using a variety of potential criteria and composite definitions. In a retrospective cohort study, anonymized patient data was accessed through a federated health research network (TriNetX LLC) of 56 US healthcare organizations (US Collaborative Network). Patients were identified based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision criteria for anterior wall STEMI during the 10-year period from 2013 to 2022 and the absence of prespecified signs or symptoms of HF. Values for 1-year incidence were calculated as 1 minus Kaplan-Meier survival at 12 months after anterior wall STEMI. Univariate Cox proportional hazard ratio was calculated to compare risk associated with potential risk factors. The analysis utilized 5 different types of definition criteria for HF: Diagnosis codes, Signs and symptoms, Laboratory/imaging, Medications, and Composites. A total of 34,395 patients from the US Collaborative Network met eligibility criteria and were included in the analysis. The 1-year incidence of HF varied from 2% to 30% depending upon the definition criteria. Although no single criteria exceeded a 1-year incidence of 20%, a simple composite of HF diagnosis (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision-I50) or use of loop diuretic produced a 1-year incidence 26.1% that was used as the benchmark outcome for evaluation of risk factors. Age ≥65 years, Black race, low-density lipoprotein ≥100 mg/100 ml, elevated hemoglobin A1c (7% to 9% and >9%), and body mass index≥35 kg/m

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Declaration of Competing Interest Drs. Van Tassell and Abbate serve as consultants for Implicit Biosciences. The remaining authors have no competing interests to declare.