Effects of the

The We analyzed beta-cell function through the relationship between insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity in members of this population without diabetes aged ≥5 years using standard major axis regression. We used hierarchical logistic regression models to study cross-sectional associations with diabetes complications including increased albuminuria (albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) ≥30 mg/g), severe albuminuria (ACR ≥300 mg/g), reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m Variant carriers had worse beta-cell function than non-carriers (p=0.0004; on average estimated secretion was 22% lower, in carriers), in children and adults, with no difference in insulin sensitivity (p=0.50). At any body mass index and age before 35 years, carriers had higher type 2 diabetes incidence. This variant did not associate with prevalence of increased albuminuria (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.16), severe albuminuria (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.55 to 1.68), or reduced eGFR (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.18 to 1.06). By contrast, the variant significantly associated with higher retinopathy prevalence (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.53) and this association was only partially mediated (<11%) by glycemia, duration of diabetes, risk factors of retinopathy, or insulin use. Retinopathy prevalence in carriers was higher regardless of diabetes presence. The

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Competing interests: None declared.