Modelling the health and economic impacts ofM72/AS01

BCG Cost-effectiveness M72 Modelling South Africa Tuberculosis Vaccination

Journal

Vaccine
ISSN: 1873-2518
Titre abrégé: Vaccine
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 8406899

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
01 Feb 2024
Historique:
received: 18 10 2023
revised: 11 01 2024
accepted: 22 01 2024
medline: 3 2 2024
pubmed: 3 2 2024
entrez: 2 2 2024
Statut: aheadofprint

Résumé

Tuberculosis remains a major public health problem in South Africa, with an estimated 300,000 cases and 55,000 deaths in 2021. New tuberculosis vaccines could play an important role in reducing this burden. Phase IIb trials have suggested efficacy of the M72/AS01 We used an age-stratified transmission model of tuberculosis, calibrated to epidemiological data from South Africa, to estimate the potential health and economic impact of M72/AS01 M72/AS01 Our results show that M72/AS01 This work was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-001754). This work used the Cirrus UK National Tier-2 HPC Service at EPCC (https://www.cirrus.ac.uk) funded by the University of Edinburgh and EPSRC (EP/P020267/1).

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Tuberculosis remains a major public health problem in South Africa, with an estimated 300,000 cases and 55,000 deaths in 2021. New tuberculosis vaccines could play an important role in reducing this burden. Phase IIb trials have suggested efficacy of the M72/AS01
METHODS METHODS
We used an age-stratified transmission model of tuberculosis, calibrated to epidemiological data from South Africa, to estimate the potential health and economic impact of M72/AS01
FINDINGS RESULTS
M72/AS01
INTERPRETATION CONCLUSIONS
Our results show that M72/AS01
FUNDING BACKGROUND
This work was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-001754). This work used the Cirrus UK National Tier-2 HPC Service at EPCC (https://www.cirrus.ac.uk) funded by the University of Edinburgh and EPSRC (EP/P020267/1).

Identifiants

pubmed: 38307747
pii: S0264-410X(24)00096-3
doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.01.072
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Financial support for this project was provided by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. If there are other authors, they declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Auteurs

Tom Sumner (T)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: tom.sumner@lshtm.ac.uk.

Rebecca A Clark (RA)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Christinah Mukandavire (C)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Allison Portnoy (A)

Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA.

Chathika K Weerasuriya (CK)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Roel Bakker (R)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; KNCV Tuberculosis Foundation, USA.

Danny Scarponi (D)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Mark Hatherill (M)

South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine and Division of Immunology, Department of Pathology, University of Cape Town, South Africa.

Nicolas A Menzies (NA)

Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, USA.

Richard G White (RG)

TB Modelling Group and TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Classifications MeSH