The Future State of Race/Ethnicity in Urology: Urology Workforce Projection from 2021-2061.

To project the proportion of the urology workforce that is from Under-Represented in Medicine (URiM) groups between 2021-2061. Demographic data were obtained from AUA Census and ACGME Data Resource Books. The number of graduating urology residents and proportion of URiM graduating residents were characterized with linear models. Stock and Flow models were used to project future population numbers and proportions of URiM practicing urologists, contingent on assumptions regarding trainee demographics, retirement trends, and growth in the field. Currently there is an increase in the percentage of URiM graduates by 0.145% per year. If historical trends continue, URiM urologists will likely comprise 16.2% of urology residency graduates and 13.3% of the practicing urological workforce in 2061. These percentages would constitute an underrepresentation of URiM urologists relative to the projected 44.2% of the U.S. population who would identify as American Indian/Alaskan Native, Black/African American, Latinx/Hispanic and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander by 2060. URiM physician representation within urology over the next 40 years will remain disproportionately low compared to that of the projected share of people of color in the general U.S. In order to achieve the AUA's Diversity, Equity and Inclusion goals, a concerted effort to implement interventions to recruit, train, and retain a generation of racially diverse urologists appears necessary.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of Competing Interest Ashley AppletonNo conflict Kristian BlackNo conflict Nicholas C. SellkeNo conflict Samuel L. Washington IIINo conflict Serena DoesNo conflict Stephen RhodesNo conflict Tracy M. DownsNo conflict Christopher SaigalNo conflict Randy A. Vince Jr.No conflict Efe C. Ghanney Simons No conflict