Hit-and-run or hit-and-stay? Unintended effects of a stricter BAC limit.
Fatality Analysis Reporting System
blood alcohol concentration
driving-under-the-influence
hit-and-run
traffic fatalities
Journal
Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
ISSN: 1539-6924
Titre abrégé: Risk Anal
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8109978
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
14 Feb 2024
14 Feb 2024
Historique:
revised:
23
10
2023
received:
06
04
2023
accepted:
18
01
2024
medline:
15
2
2024
pubmed:
15
2
2024
entrez:
14
2
2024
Statut:
aheadofprint
Résumé
Although they comprise a relatively small subset of all traffic deaths, hit-and-run (HR) fatalities are both contemptible and preventable. We analyze longitudinal data from 1982 to 2008 to examine the effects of blood alcohol concentration (BAC) laws on HR traffic fatalities. Our results suggest that lower BAC limits may have an unintended consequence of increasing HR fatalities, whereas a similar effect is absent for non-HR fatalities. Specifically, we find that the adoption of a 0.08 BAC limit is associated to an 8.3% increase in HR fatalities. This unintended effect is more pronounced in urban areas and during weekends, which are typical settings for HR incidents.
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Informations de copyright
© 2024 The Authors. Risk Analysis published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society for Risk Analysis.
Références
Abouk, R., & Adams, S. (2013). Texting bans and fatal accidents on roadways: Do they work? Or do drivers just react to announcements of bans? American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 5(2), 179-199.
Adams, S., Blackburn, M. L., & Cotti, C. D. (2012). Minimum wages and alcohol-related traffic fatalities among teens. Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(3), 828-840.
Adams, S., Cotti, C. D., & Tefft, N. (2015). Seatbelt use among drunk drivers in different legislative settings. Economic Inquiry, 53(1), 758-772.
Albalate, D. (2008). Lowering blood alcohol content levels to save lives: The European experience. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 27(1), 20-39.
Anderson, D. M., Hansen, B., & Rees, D. I. (2013). Medical marijuana laws, traffic fatalities, and alcohol consumption. Journal of Law and Economics, 56(2), 333-369.
Barrios, J. M., Hochberg, Y. V., & Yi, H. (2023). The cost of convenience: Ridehailing and traffic fatalities. Journal of Operations Management, 69(5), 823-855.
Benson, A. J., Arnold, L. S., Tefft, B. C., & Horrey, W. J. (2018). Hit-and-run crashes: Prevalence, contributing factors and countermeasures (research brief). AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety.
Benson, A. J., Tefft, B. C., Arnold, L. S., & Horrey, W. J. (2021). Fatal hit-and-run crashes: Factors associated with leaving the scene. Journal of Safety Research, 79, 76-82.
Betz, M. R., & Jones, L. E. (2022). Do opioid prescriptions lead to fatal car crashes? American Journal of Health Economics, 8(3), 359-386.
Blomberg, R. D., Peck, R. C., Moskowitz, H., Burns, M., & Fiorentino, D. (2009). The long beach/Fort Lauderdale relative risk study. Journal of Safety Research, 40(4), 285-292.
Botelho, G. (2016). NTSB calls for lowering blood alcohol limit, but is that the answer? CNN. http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/05/us/drunken-driving-blood-alcohol-limit/
Carpenter, C. S., & Stehr, M. F. (2011). Intended and unintended consequences of youth bicycle helmet laws. Journal of Law and Economics, 54(2), 305-324.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC]. (2016). Motor vehicle crash deaths: How is the US doing? CDC. https://www.cdc.gov/vitalsigns/pdf/2016-07-vitalsigns.pdf
Cohen, A., & Einav, L. (2003). The effects of mandatory seat belt laws on driving behavior and traffic fatalities. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(4), 828-843.
Copeland, L. (2013). Fatal hit-and-run crashes on rise in U.S. USA Today. http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/11/10/hit-and-run-crashes-los-angeles/3452699
Dee, T. S. (2001). Does setting limits save lives? The case of 0.08 BAC laws. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 20(1), 111-128.
Dee, T. S., & Evans, W. N. (2001). Behavioral policies and teen traffic safety. American Economic Review, 91(2), 91-96.
Dee, T. S., Grabowski, D. C., & Morrisey, M. A. (2005). Graduated driver licensing and teen traffic fatalities. Journal of Health Economics, 24(3), 571-589.
Dehn, J., & Koh, E. (2013). In an accident, drivers have new reasons not to run. The Texas Tribune. http://www.texastribune.org/2013/08/09/penalties-hit-and-runs-rise/
Eisenberg, D. (2003). Evaluating the effectiveness of policies related to drunk driving. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 22(2), 249-274.
Farr, S. (2011). To flee or not to flee: Justice is blind drunk. Philadelphia Inquirer. http://articles.philly.com/2011-08-09/news/29867468_1_dui-conviction-drunk-drivers-mandatory-prison-sentence
Fell, J. C., & Scherer, M. (2017). Administrative license suspension: Does length of suspension matter? Traffic Injury Prevention, 18(6), 577-584.
Fell, J. C. (2019). Approaches for reducing alcohol-impaired driving: Evidence-based legislation, law enforcement strategies, sanctions, & alcohol-control policies. Forensic Science Review, 31(2), 161-184.
Fender, J. (2010). Colorado laws may make it wise for drunk drivers to flee the scene of a crash. The Denver Post. http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_16944089#
Francesconi, M., & James, J. (2021). None for the road? Stricter drink driving laws and road accidents. Journal of Health Economics, 79, 102487.
Freeman, D. G. (2007). Drunk driving legislation and traffic fatalities: New evidence on BAC 08 laws. Contemporary Economic Policy, 25, 293-308.
Frisman, P. (2013). Driving under the influence and hit and run laws office of legislative (Research Report No. 2013-R-0235). Connecticut General Assembly. http://cga.ct.gov/2013/rpt/2013-R-0235.htm
Fujita, G., Okamura, K., Kihira, M., & Kosuge, R. (2014). Factors contributing to driver choice after hitting a pedestrian in Japan. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 72, 277-286.
Grabowski, D. C., & Morrisey, M. A. (2004). Gasoline prices and motor vehicle fatalities. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 23, 575-593.
Hansen, B. (2015). Punishment and deterrence: Evidence from drunk driving. American Economic Review, 105, 1581-1617.
Hausman, J., Hall, B. H., & Griliches, Z. (1984). Econometric models for count data with an application to the patents-R&D relationship. Econometrica, 52, 909-938.
Hijar, M., Trostle, J., & Bronfman, M. (2003). Pedestrian injuries in Mexico: A multi-method approach. Social Science & Medicine, 57, 2149-2159.
Hillard, G. (2013). Hit-and-run deaths increase, but culprits hard to capture. NPR. http://www.npr.org/2013/01/03/168545915/hit-and-run-deaths-increase-but-culprits-hard-to-capture
Hopkins, M., & Chivers, S. (2019). Theorizing hit-and-run: A study of driver decision-making processes after a road traffic collision. Criminology & Criminal Justice, 19(1), 45-61.
Jiang, C., Lu, L., Chen, S., & Lu, J. J. (2016). Hit-and-run crashes in urban river-crossing road tunnels. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 95, 373-380.
Kalinowski, B. (2014). ‘Kevin's law’ signed by Corbett. The Times-Tribune. http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/kevin-s-law-signed-by-corbett-1.1711922
Keedle, J. (2002). Repeat drunk drivers are a threat to public safety. In J. Haley (Ed.), Drunk driving (pp. 46-53). Greenhaven Press.
Kenkel, D. S. (1993). Do drunk drivers pay their way? A note on optimal penalties for drunk driving. Journal of Health Economics, 12, 137-149.
Kim, K., Pant, P., & Yamashita, E. (2008). Hit-and-run crashes: Use of rough set analysis with logistic regression to capture critical attributes and determinants. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2083, 114-121.
Liu, J., Khattak, A. J., Chen, C., Wan, D., Ma, J., & Hu, J. (2018). Revisiting hit-and-run crashes: a geo-spatial modeling method. Transportation Research Record, 2672(38), 81-92.
MacLeod, K. E., Griswold, J. B., Arnold, L. S., & Ragland, D. R. (2012). Factors associated with hit-and-run pedestrian fatalities and driver identification. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 45, 366-372.
Miami Herald Editorial. (2014). Get tough on hit-and-run drivers. Miami Herald. http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/02/05/v-print/3915226/get-tough-on-hit-and-run-drivers.html
Miller, D. L., Page, M. E., Stevens, A. H., & Filipski, M. (2009). Why are recessions good for your health? American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 99, 122-127.
Mok, S. C., & Savage (2005). Why has safety improved at rail-highway grade crossings? Risk Analysis, 25(4), 867-881.
Morrisey, M. A., & Grabowski, D. C. (2005). State motor vehicle laws and older drivers. Health Economics, 14, 407-419.
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2003). National survey of drinking and driving attitudes and behaviors: 2001 (Vol. I) (Summary Report No. DOT HS 809 549). NHTSA.
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2007). Evaluation of the national impaired driving high-visibility enforcement campaign: 2003-2005 (Research Report No. DOT HS 810 789). NHTSA.
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2010). National survey of drinking and driving attitudes and behaviors: 2008 (Vol. II) (Findings Report No. DOT HS 811 343). NHTSA.
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2021a). Traffic safety facts 2019: A compilation of motor vehicle crash data (Research Report No. DOT HS 813 141). NHTSA.
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2021b). Pedestrians: 2019 data. Traffic safety facts (Research Report No. DOT HS 813 079). NHTSA.
Peltzman, S. (1975). The effects of automobile safety regulation. Journal of Political Economy, 83, 667-726.
Polinsky, A. M., & Shavell, S. (2000). The economic theory of public enforcement of law. Journal of Economic Literature, 38(1), 45-76.
Ruhm, C. J. (2000). Are recessions good for your health? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115, 617-650.
Sánchez-Mangas, R., García-Ferrer, A., De Juan, A., & Arroyo, A. M. (2010). The probability of death in road traffic accidents. How important is a quick medical response? Accident Analysis & Prevention, 42(4), 1048-1056.
Sloan, F. A., Eldred, L. M., & Xu, Y. (2014). The behavioral economics of drunk driving. Journal of Health Economics, 35, 64-81.
Sloan, F. A. (2020). Drinking and driving. In K. F. Zimmermann (Ed.), The handbook of labor, human resources and population economics (pp. 1-31). Springer.
Smith, D. (2015). Los Angeles taps social media to fight hit-and-run. Los Angeles Daily News. http://www.dailynews.com/general-news/20150210/los-angeles-taps-social-media-to-fight-hit-and-run
Solnick, S. J., & Hemenway, D. (1994). Hit the bottle and run: The role of alcohol in hit-and-run pedestrian fatalities. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 55, 679-684.
Solnick, S. J., & Hemenway, D. (1995). The hit-and-run in fatal pedestrian accidents: Victims, circumstances and drivers. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 27, 643-649.
Tay, R., Rifaat, S. M., & Chin, H. C. (2008). A logistic model of the effects of roadway, environmental, vehicle, crash, and driver characteristics on hit-and-run crashes. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 40, 1330-1336.
Tay, R., Barua, U., & Kattan, L. (2009). Factors contributing to hit-and-run in fatal crashes. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 41, 227-233.
Toomey, T. L. (2005). American beverage licensees attack mothers against drunk driving. Addiction, 100, 1389-1391.
U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO). (2008). Traffic safety: Improved reporting and performance measures would enhance evaluation of high-visibility campaigns (Report No. GAO-08-477). U.S. Government Accountability Office.
Vandoros, S., Kavetsos, G., & Dolan, P. (2014). Greasy roads: The impact of bad financial news on road traffic accidents. Risk Analysis, 34(3), 556-566.
Viauroux, C., & Gungor, A. (2016). An empirical analysis of life jacket effectiveness in recreational boating. Risk Analysis, 36(2), 302-319.
Voas, R. B., & Lacey, J. C. (2011). Alcohol and highway safety 2006: A review of the state of knowledge (Report No. DOT HS 811 374). National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).
Wright, N. A., & Lee, L. (2021). Alcohol-related traffic laws and drunk-driving fatal accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 161, 106358.
Yasmin, S., Eluru, N., & Pinjari, A. R. (2015). Analyzing the continuum of fatal crashes: A generalized ordered approach. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 7, 1-15.
Yu, J., & Williford, W. R. (1993). Problem drinking and high-risk driving: An analysis of official and self-reported drinking-driving in New York state. Addiction, 88, 219-228.
Zaloshnja, E., Miller, T. D., & Lawrence, B. A. (2015). Economics of alcohol-involved traffic crashes in the USA: An input-output analysis. Injury Prevention, 22, 19-24.
Zhou, B., Roshandeh, A., Zhang, S., & Ma, Z. (2016). Analysis of factors contributing to hit-and-run crashes involved with improper driving behaviors. Procedia Engineering, 137, 554-562.