Modelling the dynamic basic reproduction number of dengue based on MOI of Aedes albopictus derived from a multi-site field investigation in Guangzhou, a subtropical region.

Aedes albopictus Basic reproduction number Dengue Surveillance system

Journal

Parasites & vectors
ISSN: 1756-3305
Titre abrégé: Parasit Vectors
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101462774

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
21 Feb 2024
Historique:
received: 09 11 2023
accepted: 03 01 2024
medline: 22 2 2024
pubmed: 22 2 2024
entrez: 21 2 2024
Statut: epublish

Résumé

More than half of the global population lives in areas at risk of dengue (DENV) transmission. Developing an efficient risk prediction system can help curb dengue outbreaks, but multiple variables, including mosquito-based surveillance indicators, still constrain our understanding. Mosquito or oviposition positive index (MOI) has been utilized in field surveillance to monitor the wild population density of Aedes albopictus in Guangzhou since 2005. Based on the mosquito surveillance data using Mosq-ovitrap collection and human landing collection (HLC) launched at 12 sites in Guangzhou from 2015 to 2017, we established a MOI-based model of the basic dengue reproduction number (R During the survey period, the mean MOI and adult mosquito density index (ADI) using HLC for Ae. albopictus were 12.96 ± 17.78 and 16.79 ± 55.92, respectively. The R The present study enriched our knowledge about mosquito-based surveillance indicators and indicated that the MOI of Ae. albopictus could be valuable for application in estimating the R

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
More than half of the global population lives in areas at risk of dengue (DENV) transmission. Developing an efficient risk prediction system can help curb dengue outbreaks, but multiple variables, including mosquito-based surveillance indicators, still constrain our understanding. Mosquito or oviposition positive index (MOI) has been utilized in field surveillance to monitor the wild population density of Aedes albopictus in Guangzhou since 2005.
METHODS METHODS
Based on the mosquito surveillance data using Mosq-ovitrap collection and human landing collection (HLC) launched at 12 sites in Guangzhou from 2015 to 2017, we established a MOI-based model of the basic dengue reproduction number (R
RESULTS RESULTS
During the survey period, the mean MOI and adult mosquito density index (ADI) using HLC for Ae. albopictus were 12.96 ± 17.78 and 16.79 ± 55.92, respectively. The R
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
The present study enriched our knowledge about mosquito-based surveillance indicators and indicated that the MOI of Ae. albopictus could be valuable for application in estimating the R

Identifiants

pubmed: 38383475
doi: 10.1186/s13071-024-06121-y
pii: 10.1186/s13071-024-06121-y
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

79

Subventions

Organisme : National Key Research and Development Program of China
ID : 2016YFC1200500
Organisme : National Key Research and Development Program of China
ID : 2020YFC120100
Organisme : Key R&D Program of Guangdong, China
ID : 2022B1111030002
Organisme : Guangzhou Synergy Innovation Key Program for Health
ID : 201508020263

Informations de copyright

© 2024. The Author(s).

Références

Guzman MG, Gubler DJ, Izquierdo A, Martinez E, Halstead SB. Dengue infection. Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2016;2:16055. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrdp.2016.55 .
doi: 10.1038/nrdp.2016.55 pubmed: 27534439
Guzman MG, Harris E. Dengue. Lancet. 2015;385:453–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60572-9 .
doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60572-9 pubmed: 25230594
Brady OJ, Hay SI. The global expansion of dengue: how Aedes aegypti mosquitoes enabled the first pandemic arbovirus. Annu Rev Entomol. 2020;65:191–208. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ento-011019-024918 .
doi: 10.1146/annurev-ento-011019-024918 pubmed: 31594415
Li Y, Kamara F, Zhou G, Puthiyakunnon S, Li C, Liu Y, et al. Urbanization increases Aedes albopictus larval habitats and accelerates mosquito development and survivorship. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014;8:e3301. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0003301 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003301 pubmed: 25393814 pmcid: 4230920
Kraemer MUG, Reiner RC Jr, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Gilbert M, Pigott DM, et al. Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Nat Microbiol. 2019;4:854–63. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y .
doi: 10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y pubmed: 30833735 pmcid: 6522366
Franklinos LHV, Jones KE, Redding DW, Abubakar I. The effect of global change on mosquito-borne disease. Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19:e302–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30161-6 .
doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30161-6 pubmed: 31227327
Castro MC, Wilson ME, Bloom DE. Disease and economic burdens of dengue. Lancet Infect Dis. 2017;17:e70–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30545-X .
doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30545-X pubmed: 28185869
Lai S, Huang Z, Zhou H, Anders KL, Perkins TA, Yin W, et al. The changing epidemiology of dengue in China, 1990–2014: a descriptive analysis of 25 years of nationwide surveillance data. BMC Med. 2015;13:100. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-015-0336-1 .
doi: 10.1186/s12916-015-0336-1 pubmed: 25925417 pmcid: 4431043
Qiu FX, Gubler DJ, Liu JC, Chen QQ. Dengue in China: a clinical review. Bull World Health Organ. 1993;71:349–59.
pubmed: 8324854 pmcid: 2393493
Wu JY, Lun ZR, James AA, Chen XG. Dengue fever in mainland China. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2010;83:664–71. https://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0755 .
doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0755 pubmed: 20810836 pmcid: 2929067
Chen B, Liu Q. Dengue fever in China. Lancet. 2015;385:1621–2. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60793-0 .
doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60793-0 pubmed: 25943817
Ferguson NM. Challenges and opportunities in controlling mosquito-borne infections. Nature. 2018;559:490–7. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0318-5 .
doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0318-5 pubmed: 30046071
Schaffner F, Bellini R, Petric D, Scholte EJ, Zeller H, Rakotoarivony LM. Development of guidelines for the surveillance of invasive mosquitoes in Europe. Parasit Vectors. 2013;6:209. https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-3305-6-209 .
doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-6-209 pubmed: 23866915 pmcid: 3724590
Jourdain F, Samy AM, Hamidi A, Bouattour A, Alten B, Faraj C, et al. Towards harmonisation of entomological surveillance in the Mediterranean area. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2019;13:e0007314. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0007314 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007314 pubmed: 31194743 pmcid: 6563966
Liu X, Liu Q. Aedes surveillance and risk warnings for dengue—China, 2016–2019. China CDC Wkly. 2020;2:431–7. https://doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.111 .
doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2020.111 pubmed: 34594673 pmcid: 8428436
Connelly CR, Gerding JA, Jennings SM, Ruiz A, Barrera R, Partridge S, et al. Continuation of mosquito surveillance and control during public health emergencies and natural disasters. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69:938–40. https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6928a6 .
doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6928a6 pubmed: 32673302
Lin L, Cai S, Duan J, Zhou H, Lu W, Feng Q, et al. Application of Mosq-ovitrap on vector surveillance during dengue fever outbreak. Chin J Public Health. 2005;21:1459–61.
Luo L, Li X, Xiao X, Xu Y, Huang M, Yang Z. Identification of Aedes albopictus larval index thresholds in the transmission of dengue in Guangzhou. China J Vector Ecol. 2015;40:240–6. https://doi.org/10.1111/jvec.12160 .
doi: 10.1111/jvec.12160 pubmed: 26611957
Duan J, Lin L, Cai S, Liu W, Yi J, Lu W, et al. Study on the stepwisw responses for risk categories for dengue vector. Chin J Vector Bio & Control. 2009;20:51–4.
Yin Q, Li L, Guo X, Wu R, Shi B, Wang Y, et al. A field-based modeling study on ecological characterization of hourly host-seeking behavior and its associated climatic variables in Aedes albopictus. Parasit Vectors. 2019;12:474. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-019-3715-1 .
doi: 10.1186/s13071-019-3715-1 pubmed: 31610804 pmcid: 6791010
Xia D, Guo X, Hu T, Li L, Teng PY, Yin QQ, et al. Photoperiodic diapause in a subtropical population of Aedes albopictus in Guangzhou, China: optimized field-laboratory-based study and statistical models for comprehensive characterization. Infect Dis Poverty. 2018;7:89. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-018-0466-8 .
doi: 10.1186/s40249-018-0466-8 pubmed: 30107859 pmcid: 6092856
Guo X, Luo L, Long Y, Teng P, Wei Y, Xie T, et al. Field investigation combined with modeling uncovers the ecological heterogeneity of Aedes albopictus habitats for strategically improving systematic management during urbanization. Parasit Vectors. 2023;16:382. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-023-05926-7 .
doi: 10.1186/s13071-023-05926-7 pubmed: 37880803 pmcid: 10599048
China NHCotPsRo: surveillance methods for vector density—Mosquito. vol. GB/T 23797-20202020.
Smith DL, Battle KE, Hay SI, Barker CM, Scott TW, McKenzie FE. Ross, macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLoS Pathog. 2012;8:e1002588. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1002588 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1002588 pubmed: 22496640 pmcid: 3320609
Manica M, Rosa R, Della Torre A, Caputo B. From eggs to bites: do ovitrap data provide reliable estimates of Aedes albopictus biting females? PeerJ. 2017;5:e2998. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.2998 .
doi: 10.7717/peerj.2998 pubmed: 28321362 pmcid: 5357344
Brady OJ, Johansson MA, Guerra CA, Bhatt S, Golding N, Pigott DM, et al. Modelling adult Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus survival at different temperatures in laboratory and field settings. Parasite Vector. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-3305-6-351 .
doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-6-351
Lambrechts L, Scott TW, Gubler DJ. Consequences of the expanding global distribution of Aedes albopictus for dengue virus transmission. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010;4:e646. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0000646 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000646 pubmed: 20520794 pmcid: 2876112
Paupy C, Ollomo B, Kamgang B, Moutailler S, Rousset D, Demanou M, et al. Comparative role of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti in the emergence of dengue and chikungunya in central Africa. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis. 2010;10:259–66. https://doi.org/10.1089/vbz.2009.0005 .
doi: 10.1089/vbz.2009.0005 pubmed: 19725769
Nur Aida H, Abu Hassan A, Nurita AT, Che Salmah MR, Norasmah B. Population analysis of Aedes albopictus (Skuse) (Diptera:Culicidae) under uncontrolled laboratory conditions. Trop Biomed. 2008;25:117–25.
pubmed: 18948882
Manore CA, Hickmann KS, Xu S, Wearing HJ, Hyman JM. Comparing dengue and chikungunya emergence and endemic transmission in A. aegypti and A. albopictus. J Theor Biol. 2014;356:174–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.04.033 .
doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.04.033 pubmed: 24801860 pmcid: 4109365
Williams CR, Long SA, Russell RC, Ritchie SA. Field efficacy of the BG-sentinel compared with CDC backpack aspirators and CO2-baited EVS traps for collection of adult Aedes aegypti in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. J Am Mosq Control Assoc. 2006;22:296–300. https://doi.org/10.2987/8756-971X(2006)22[296:FEOTBC]2.0.CO;2 .
doi: 10.2987/8756-971X(2006)22[296:FEOTBC]2.0.CO;2 pubmed: 17019776
Sang S, Liu Q, Guo X, Wu, Ke C, Liu-Helmersson J, et al. The epidemiological characteristics of dengue in high-risk areas of China, 2013–2016. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021;15:e0009970. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009970 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009970 pubmed: 34928951 pmcid: 8687583
Sang S, Chen B, Wu H, Yang Z, Di B, Wang L, et al. Dengue is still an imported disease in China: a case study in Guangzhou. Infect Genet Evol. 2015;32:178–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.meegid.2015.03.005 .
doi: 10.1016/j.meegid.2015.03.005 pubmed: 25772205
van Panhuis WG, Choisy M, Xiong X, Chok NS, Akarasewi P, Iamsirithaworn S, et al. Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015;112:13069–74. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1501375112 .
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1501375112 pubmed: 26438851 pmcid: 4620875
Garcia-Carreras B, Yang B, Grabowski MK, Sheppard LW, Huang AT, Salje H, et al. Periodic synchronisation of dengue epidemics in Thailand over the last 5 decades driven by temperature and immunity. PLoS Biol. 2022;20:e3001160. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001160 .
doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001160 pubmed: 35302985 pmcid: 8967062
Xiao J, Liu T, Lin H, Zhu G, Zeng W, Li X, et al. Weather variables and the El Nino Southern Oscillation may drive the epidemics of dengue in Guangdong Province. China Sci Total Environ. 2018;624:926–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.200 .
doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.200 pubmed: 29275255

Auteurs

Xiang Guo (X)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Li Li (L)

State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Department of Biostatistics, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Wenwen Ren (W)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Minling Hu (M)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Ziyao Li (Z)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Shu Zeng (S)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Xiaohua Liu (X)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Yuji Wang (Y)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Tian Xie (T)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Qingqing Yin (Q)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Yuehong Wei (Y)

Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.

Lei Luo (L)

Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.

Benyun Shi (B)

School of Computer Science and Technology, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing, China.

Chunmei Wang (C)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Rangke Wu (R)

The School of Foreign Studies, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Zhicong Yang (Z)

Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.

Xiao-Guang Chen (XG)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.

Xiaohong Zhou (X)

Department of Pathogen Biology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control for Emerging Infectious Diseases of Guangdong Higher Institutes, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China. daizhouxh@163.com.

Classifications MeSH