Phenotypic characterization of predictors for development and progression of geographic atrophy using optical coherence tomography.

To evaluate the impact of optical coherence tomography (OCT) phenotypes preceding atrophy related to age-related macular degeneration (AMD) on the progression of atrophic lesions. In this observational retrospective cohort study, a total of 70 eyes of 60 consecutive patients with intermediate AMD with a minimum follow-up of 24 months were included. The atrophy was quantified using fundus autofluorescence, also considering the directionality of atrophy as centrifugal and centripetal progression rates.Main outcome measures were geographic atrophy (GA) progression rate (mm2/year) and square root-transformation GA (mm2/year). The best-fit model for GA (OR: 1.81, p<0.001) and square root-transformation GA (OR: 1.36, p<0.001) areas revealed that the main baseline predictor was the presence of an RPE-basal lamina-(BL)-Bruch's membrane (BrM) splitting. Large drusen at baseline appeared protective for the GA area lesion expansion over time (OR: 0.52, p<0.001) when considered with other confounders. A thin RPE-BL-BrM splitting without evidence of neovascularization on OCT angiography likely represents an OCT signature for late basal laminar deposits. Identifying this phenotype can help identify individuals with a higher risk of rapid progression and atrophy expansion.