Scoliosis Research Society-22r and Ceiling Effects: Limited Capabilities for Precision-Medicine with Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.


Journal

Spine
ISSN: 1528-1159
Titre abrégé: Spine (Phila Pa 1976)
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 7610646

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
19 Mar 2024
Historique:
received: 20 12 2023
accepted: 11 03 2024
medline: 19 3 2024
pubmed: 19 3 2024
entrez: 19 3 2024
Statut: aheadofprint

Résumé

Retrospective registry analysis. To examine predictions of individual Scoliosis Research Society-22r (SRS-22r) questions one year after surgery for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). A precision-medicine approach to AIS surgery will inform patients of the likelihood of achieving particular results from surgery, specifically individual responses to the SRS-22r questionnaire. A multi-center AIS registry was queried for surgical AIS patients treated between 2002-2020. Preoperative data collected included standard demographic data, deformity descriptive data, and SRS-22r scores. Postoperative 1yr SRS-22r scores were modeled using ordinal logistic regression. . The highest probability was the most likely response. Model performance was examined by c-statistics, where c>.8 was considered excellent. Ceiling effects were measured by the proportion of patients reporting "5" to each question. 3251 patients contributed data to the study; mean age 14.4 (±2.2) yrs, female 2631 (81%), major thoracic coronal curve 53°, mean lumbar 41°. C-statistic values ranged from .6 (poor) to .8 (excellent) evidence of varied predictive capabilities. Q17 ("days off work/school", c = .84, ceiling achieved 75%) and Q15 ("financial difficulties", c = .86, ceiling achieved 82%) had the greatest predictive capabilities while Q11 ("pain medication", c=.73, ceiling achieved 67%), Q10 ("appearance", c=.72, ceiling achieved 35%), and Q19 ("attractive", c=.69, ceiling achieved 37%) performed poorly. Prediction of individual SRS-22r item responses perhaps most germane to AIS treatment was poor. Prediction of less relevant outcomes, where ceiling effects are present, was greater as the models chose "5" for all responses. These ceiling effects may limit discrimination and hamper efforts at personalized outcome predictions. 3.

Sections du résumé

STUDY DESIGN METHODS
Retrospective registry analysis.
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
To examine predictions of individual Scoliosis Research Society-22r (SRS-22r) questions one year after surgery for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS).
SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA BACKGROUND
A precision-medicine approach to AIS surgery will inform patients of the likelihood of achieving particular results from surgery, specifically individual responses to the SRS-22r questionnaire.
METHODS METHODS
A multi-center AIS registry was queried for surgical AIS patients treated between 2002-2020. Preoperative data collected included standard demographic data, deformity descriptive data, and SRS-22r scores. Postoperative 1yr SRS-22r scores were modeled using ordinal logistic regression. . The highest probability was the most likely response. Model performance was examined by c-statistics, where c>.8 was considered excellent. Ceiling effects were measured by the proportion of patients reporting "5" to each question.
RESULTS RESULTS
3251 patients contributed data to the study; mean age 14.4 (±2.2) yrs, female 2631 (81%), major thoracic coronal curve 53°, mean lumbar 41°. C-statistic values ranged from .6 (poor) to .8 (excellent) evidence of varied predictive capabilities. Q17 ("days off work/school", c = .84, ceiling achieved 75%) and Q15 ("financial difficulties", c = .86, ceiling achieved 82%) had the greatest predictive capabilities while Q11 ("pain medication", c=.73, ceiling achieved 67%), Q10 ("appearance", c=.72, ceiling achieved 35%), and Q19 ("attractive", c=.69, ceiling achieved 37%) performed poorly.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
Prediction of individual SRS-22r item responses perhaps most germane to AIS treatment was poor. Prediction of less relevant outcomes, where ceiling effects are present, was greater as the models chose "5" for all responses. These ceiling effects may limit discrimination and hamper efforts at personalized outcome predictions.
LEVEL OF EVIDENCE METHODS
3.

Identifiants

pubmed: 38501486
doi: 10.1097/BRS.0000000000004993
pii: 00007632-990000000-00620
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Investigateurs

Aaron Buckland (A)
Amer Samdani (A)
Amit Jain (A)
Baron Lonner (B)
Benjamin Roye (B)
Burt Yaszay (B)
Chris Reilly (C)
Daniel Hedequist (D)
Daniel Sucato (D)
David Clements (D)
Firoz Miyanji (F)
Harry Shufflebarger (H)
Jack Flynn (J)
John Asghar (J)
Jean Marc Mac Thiong (JM)
Joshua Pahys (J)
Juergen Harms (J)
Keith Bachmann (K)
Lawrence Lenke (L)
Lori Karol (L)
Mark Abel (M)
Mark Erickson (M)
Michael Glotzbecker (M)
Michael Kelly (M)
Michael Vitale (M)
Michelle Marks (M)
Munish Gupta (M)
Nicholas Fletcher (N)
Noelle Larson (N)
Patrick Cahill (P)
Paul Sponseller (P)
Peter Gabos (P)
Peter Newton (P)
Peter Sturm (P)
Randal Betz (R)
Stefan Parent (S)
Stephen George (S)
Steven Hwang (S)
Suken Shah (S)
Sumeet Garg (S)
Tom Errico (T)
Vidyadhar Upasani (V)

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Conflict of Interest Disclosure: This study was supported in part by grants to the Setting Scoliosis Straight Foundation in support of Harms Study Group research from DePuy Synthes Spine, EOS imaging, Stryker Spine, Medtronic, NuVasive, Zimmer Biomet and the Food and Drug Administration.

Auteurs

Lauren E Stone (LE)

Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, CA.

Christopher P Ames (CP)

Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.

Ferran Pellise (F)

Spine Surgery Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain.

Peter O Newton (PO)

Division of Orthopedics & Scoliosis, Rady Children's Hospital, San Diego, CA.

Vidyadhar V Upasani (VV)

Division of Orthopedics & Scoliosis, Rady Children's Hospital, San Diego, CA.

Michael P Kelly (MP)

Division of Orthopedics & Scoliosis, Rady Children's Hospital, San Diego, CA.

Classifications MeSH